{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5770edb2-13a2-48cb-a6c9-ee2db70ea48c",
    "symbol": "EURPA",
    "name": "UBS MSCI Europe Climate Paris Aligned UCITS ETF EUR acc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 86.472,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.912,
    "architecture_energy": 67.233,
    "architecture_maturity": 73.18,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.205,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.8,
        "rotation_up": 59.75,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 65.82,
        "rotation_down": 28.65,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
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    "latest_close": 19.101999,
    "trend_reference": 18.029733,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.059472,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 15.820615,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.207412,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.232946,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.069661,
    "excess_performance": -0.101231,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059472,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037062,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.207412,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096439,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062329,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050057,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069661,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.317529,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 1.317529,
      "dry_up": 3.59041,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
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    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.011324,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.114488,
      "from_high_reference": -0.017286,
      "from_low_reference": 0.192087
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 18.029733,
      "fair_value_reference": 15.820615,
      "structural_low": 17.006001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005996,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.072291,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "sufficient": true
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 200.9,
        "trend": 17.3854,
        "fair_value": 15.436423,
        "relative_strength": -3.925527,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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        "relative_strength": -3.501686,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "trend": 17.515066,
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        "relative_strength": -5.631835,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -4.681856,
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        "energy": 91.163963,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 18.733999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 175.15,
        "trend": 17.715866,
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        "relative_strength": -7.243069,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 184.4,
        "trend": 17.801666,
        "fair_value": 15.67632,
        "relative_strength": -3.896779,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 97.989935,
        "energy": 79.177327,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.922666,
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          18.181495,
          18.001582
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 19.011999,
        "volume": 696,
        "typical_volume": 219.2,
        "trend": 17.8658,
        "fair_value": 15.711962,
        "relative_strength": -3.832704,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.934347,
        "energy": 70.538737,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.977599,
          18.825345,
          18.290352,
          18.079668
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 19.101999,
        "volume": 547,
        "typical_volume": 246.55,
        "trend": 17.932933,
        "fair_value": 15.748179,
        "relative_strength": -3.095397,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.366387,
        "energy": 71.265219,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.043999,
          18.905345,
          18.402285,
          18.159423
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 19.101999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 86.55,
        "trend": 17.986933,
        "fair_value": 15.784397,
        "relative_strength": -3.601564,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.620139,
        "energy": 69.580903,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.085866,
          18.966726,
          18.508295,
          18.234847
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 19.101999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 86.55,
        "trend": 18.029733,
        "fair_value": 15.820615,
        "relative_strength": -6.232946,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.911879,
        "energy": 67.232527,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.103199,
          19.00949,
          18.606342,
          18.306787
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}