{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5771c2f9-f3b5-4ac9-be6d-7135450b0912", "symbol": "PATO", "name": "Pato Chemical Industry Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 87.406, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.225, "architecture_energy": 38.55, "architecture_maturity": 88.755, "architecture_confidence": 88.003, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.47, "rotation_up": 24.49, "upward_expansion": 4.75, "deceleration": 57.17, "rotation_down": 45.65, "downward_expansion": 75.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.133333, 6.15, 6.167619, 6.247171 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.1, "trend_reference": 6.3525, "distance_from_trend": -0.039748, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.318635, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.166511, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.952374, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.057005, "excess_performance": -0.24933, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.039748, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024459, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.166511, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017765, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.219524, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024176, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.057005, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.539756, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42800, "relative_activity": 0.517972, "balance": 0.539756, "dry_up": 0.769091, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021438, "annualized_volatility": 0.1242, "from_high_reference": -0.22998, "from_low_reference": 0.02521 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.3525, "fair_value_reference": 7.318635, "structural_low": 5.95, 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6.155455, 6.223006, 6.311767 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.2, "volume": 75600, "typical_volume": 120435.0, "trend": 6.395521, "fair_value": 7.351594, "relative_strength": -23.696521, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.92121, "energy": 24.138982, "activity_lines": [ 6.196667, 6.168182, 6.211057, 6.298474 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.15, "volume": 88300, "typical_volume": 115510.0, "trend": 6.381771, "fair_value": 7.34029, "relative_strength": -23.937289, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.344302, "energy": 21.399028, "activity_lines": [ 6.186667, 6.17, 6.197411, 6.282634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.1, "volume": 47500, "typical_volume": 109955.0, "trend": 6.367917, "fair_value": 7.329462, "relative_strength": -23.097167, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.101423, "energy": 29.142617, "activity_lines": [ 6.16, 6.16, 6.18119, 6.264456 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.1, "volume": 42800, "typical_volume": 82630.0, "trend": 6.3525, "fair_value": 7.318635, "relative_strength": -21.952374, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.225223, "energy": 38.550026, "activity_lines": [ 6.133333, 6.15, 6.167619, 6.247171 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }