{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "57836928-7dab-4324-a9e7-8afb2cb83229",
    "symbol": "SONE",
    "name": "Sonetel AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -4.033,
    "architecture_energy": 12.993,
    "architecture_maturity": 94.658,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.287,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.47,
        "rotation_up": 42.13,
        "upward_expansion": 36.9,
        "deceleration": 37.46,
        "rotation_down": 16.02,
        "downward_expansion": 40.56
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.748,
        5.651273,
        5.634429,
        5.697914
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 5.78,
    "trend_reference": 6.002,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.036988,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 5.729038,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.008895,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -27.384271,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.224161,
    "excess_performance": -0.285655,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036988,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.098889,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008895,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022514,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.273843,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034501,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.224161,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.659167,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1682,
      "relative_activity": 0.281426,
      "balance": 0.659167,
      "dry_up": 0.594015,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.051903,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.523596,
      "from_high_reference": -0.474545,
      "from_low_reference": 0.219409
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.002,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.729038,
      "structural_low": 4.74,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.010936,
        "positive_rate": 0.533333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.433333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005734,
        "regime_survival": 0.766667,
        "best_return": 0.218487,
        "worst_return": -0.248322,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.20911,
        "worst_return": -0.276923,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "median_return": -0.052745,
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        "worst_return": -0.252308,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.167241,
        "sufficient": false
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          6.073,
          6.482323
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 5.72,
        "volume": 7302,
        "typical_volume": 15294.25,
        "trend": 7.007333,
        "fair_value": 5.798974,
        "relative_strength": -30.834407,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.995977,
        "energy": 30.326742,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.745333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 5.5,
        "volume": 2464,
        "typical_volume": 15347.85,
        "trend": 6.869,
        "fair_value": 5.786795,
        "relative_strength": -32.661371,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.491836,
        "energy": 33.499666,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.650667,
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          5.919571,
          6.291742
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 11861,
        "typical_volume": 15854.8,
        "trend": 6.764333,
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        "relative_strength": -30.702927,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.665351,
        "energy": 25.432374,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.732,
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          5.877095,
          6.226645
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 5.54,
        "volume": 12413,
        "typical_volume": 14321.25,
        "trend": 6.660667,
        "fair_value": 5.770128,
        "relative_strength": -34.229961,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.08632,
        "energy": 34.214843,
        "activity_lines": [
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          5.809095,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 5.7,
        "volume": 276,
        "typical_volume": 12669.0,
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        "fair_value": 5.764679,
        "relative_strength": -31.784267,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.855792,
        "energy": 30.61433,
        "activity_lines": [
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          5.760905,
          6.085677
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 5.7,
        "volume": 251,
        "typical_volume": 11277.7,
        "trend": 6.480667,
        "fair_value": 5.760833,
        "relative_strength": -31.180996,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.875082,
        "energy": 26.985158,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 5.0,
        "volume": 24323,
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        "trend": 6.357333,
        "fair_value": 5.753141,
        "relative_strength": -40.366046,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.657744,
        "energy": 49.023093,
        "activity_lines": [
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          5.933118
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 5.2,
        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 6.265667,
        "fair_value": 5.747372,
        "relative_strength": -37.062956,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.937529,
        "energy": 53.894943,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.336,
          5.485818,
          5.579429,
          5.858452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 5.58,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 11047.7,
        "trend": 6.21,
        "fair_value": 5.743397,
        "relative_strength": -33.684988,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.24031,
        "energy": 46.281575,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.386667,
          5.485091,
          5.568381,
          5.814215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 5.8,
        "volume": 6544,
        "typical_volume": 10121.55,
        "trend": 6.156667,
        "fair_value": 5.740513,
        "relative_strength": -28.567527,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.030459,
        "energy": 38.011605,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.508,
          5.526909,
          5.584571,
          5.787763
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 5.8,
        "volume": 783,
        "typical_volume": 7880.95,
        "trend": 6.106667,
        "fair_value": 5.739231,
        "relative_strength": -26.608108,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.259655,
        "energy": 15.871517,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.622667,
          5.570545,
          5.603619,
          5.764753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 5.6,
        "volume": 2759,
        "typical_volume": 5561.6,
        "trend": 6.063333,
        "fair_value": 5.736667,
        "relative_strength": -29.247769,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -26.114964,
        "energy": 21.561435,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.664,
          5.576364,
          5.603381,
          5.732065
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.78,
        "volume": 8977,
        "typical_volume": 5925.8,
        "trend": 6.026,
        "fair_value": 5.733654,
        "relative_strength": -27.077538,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -15.195471,
        "energy": 18.357082,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.725333,
          5.613091,
          5.620286,
          5.713785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.78,
        "volume": 1682,
        "typical_volume": 5976.7,
        "trend": 6.002,
        "fair_value": 5.729038,
        "relative_strength": -27.384271,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -4.032875,
        "energy": 12.992802,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.748,
          5.651273,
          5.634429,
          5.697914
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}