{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5794926e-b268-40e9-9346-10c1b5cca5d6",
    "symbol": "002998",
    "name": "Elite Color Environmental Resources Science & Technology Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 65.958,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -41.536,
    "architecture_energy": 28.761,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.075,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.46,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.46,
        "rotation_up": 27.26,
        "upward_expansion": 17.85,
        "deceleration": 63.28,
        "rotation_down": 38.06,
        "downward_expansion": 65.52
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.287433,
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 7.95,
    "trend_reference": 8.118632,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.020771,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 6.747665,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.178185,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.626157,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.049412,
    "excess_performance": -0.056812,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020771,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021228,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.178185,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.331346,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046262,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073482,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.049412,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.416698,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 96358943,
      "relative_activity": 1.84198,
      "balance": 0.416698,
      "dry_up": 1.746134,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.101578,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.465703,
      "from_high_reference": -0.224975,
      "from_low_reference": 0.249647
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.118632,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.747665,
      "structural_low": 6.361798,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.027007,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4375,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024217,
        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
        "best_return": 0.170213,
        "worst_return": -0.14786,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.126538,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.25,
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
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        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.700825,
        "energy": 70.992957,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 50179638.7,
        "trend": 8.114286,
        "fair_value": 6.73751,
        "relative_strength": -16.051889,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.952296,
        "energy": 51.51864,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.14,
        "volume": 69408465,
        "typical_volume": 50333287.8,
        "trend": 8.100669,
        "fair_value": 6.740523,
        "relative_strength": -10.065907,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.252169,
        "energy": 46.016721,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.95,
        "volume": 96358943,
        "typical_volume": 52312710.95,
        "trend": 8.118632,
        "fair_value": 6.747665,
        "relative_strength": -4.626157,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.536282,
        "energy": 28.76087,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}