{ "ticker": { "uuid": "57a31564-a211-4eeb-98eb-50794186c6fd", "symbol": "6152", "name": "Prime Electronics & Satellitics Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 80.81, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.674, "architecture_energy": 41.26, "architecture_maturity": 26.364, "architecture_confidence": 88.951, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.83, "rotation_up": 23.22, "upward_expansion": 5.67, "deceleration": 56.57, "rotation_down": 50.59, "downward_expansion": 79.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.906667, 12.953636, 13.686429, 14.473118 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 14.1, "trend_reference": 15.203333, "distance_from_trend": -0.072572, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.082372, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.166989, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.858327, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.177843, "excess_performance": -0.619215, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.072572, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089714, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.166989, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087214, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.188583, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085988, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.177843, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.307485, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20230021, "relative_activity": 2.048471, "balance": 1.307485, "dry_up": 0.701797, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106929, "annualized_volatility": 0.62976, "from_high_reference": -0.364865, "from_low_reference": 0.7603 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.203333, "fair_value_reference": 12.082372, "structural_low": 11.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.016471, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": -0.012941, "regime_survival": 0.695652, "best_return": 0.232394, "worst_return": -0.149606, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.037524, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.0458, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.241784, "worst_return": -0.18607, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.079701, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.065025, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.183333, "worst_return": -0.280159, "sufficient": true 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"close": 12.0, "volume": 4237612, "typical_volume": 16150372.25, "trend": 14.923333, "fair_value": 12.022115, "relative_strength": -27.185438, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -52.110639, "energy": 67.971244, "activity_lines": [ 13.003333, 13.798182, 14.587619, 15.06172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.2, "volume": 2647621, "typical_volume": 13331263.85, "trend": 14.985, "fair_value": 12.033333, "relative_strength": -27.313911, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.724113, "energy": 79.796809, "activity_lines": [ 12.633333, 13.406364, 14.259524, 14.886021 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.5, "volume": 2770801, "typical_volume": 11939095.2, "trend": 14.99, "fair_value": 12.041667, "relative_strength": -30.277649, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.20758, "energy": 83.224339, "activity_lines": [ 12.183333, 12.934545, 13.903095, 14.661183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.05, "volume": 2074407, "typical_volume": 10270562.4, "trend": 15.075, "fair_value": 12.059936, "relative_strength": -22.520931, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.124553, "energy": 70.135746, "activity_lines": [ 12.353333, 12.828182, 13.730476, 14.536021 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 14.1, "volume": 20230021, "typical_volume": 9875670.5, "trend": 15.203333, "fair_value": 12.082372, "relative_strength": -18.858327, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.674354, "energy": 41.260218, "activity_lines": [ 12.906667, 12.953636, 13.686429, 14.473118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }