{ "ticker": { "uuid": "57ac8354-642e-4aa5-afb7-813ef9236833", "symbol": "FNLC", "name": "First Bancorp Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.89, "architecture_energy": 59.68, "architecture_maturity": 38.884, "architecture_confidence": 82.801, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.87, "rotation_up": 72.22, "upward_expansion": 87.27, "deceleration": 57.92, "rotation_down": 16.33, "downward_expansion": 9.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.980667, 34.290079, 32.375536, 31.2055 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 35.38, "trend_reference": 29.846177, "distance_from_trend": 0.185411, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.561458, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.440468, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.116446, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.194118, "excess_performance": 0.006664, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.185411, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092987, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.440468, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.214424, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.111164, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.17717, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.194118, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.188484, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 117405, "relative_activity": 0.86853, "balance": 3.188484, "dry_up": 1.265758, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062765, "annualized_volatility": 0.272207, "from_high_reference": -0.025344, "from_low_reference": 0.508846 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.846177, "fair_value_reference": 24.561458, "structural_low": 26.518598, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.031226, "positive_rate": 0.36, "directional_follow_through": 0.36, "median_excess_return": -0.011294, "regime_survival": 0.64, "best_return": 0.148693, "worst_return": -0.111785, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.016994, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.019221, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.173012, "worst_return": -0.115942, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.026175, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.032203, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.299886, "worst_return": -0.1192, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-03", "close": 34.651121, "volume": 181496, "typical_volume": 116306.55, "trend": 28.474025, "fair_value": 24.174444, "relative_strength": 11.730626, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.784982, "energy": 89.769735, "activity_lines": [ 32.942958, 31.32224, 30.053127, 29.362782 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 33.45, "volume": 139350, "typical_volume": 120717.25, "trend": 28.68634, "fair_value": 24.251824, "relative_strength": 5.881101, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.265513, "energy": 84.137631, "activity_lines": [ 33.446441, 31.893735, 30.462019, 29.683813 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.51, "volume": 148843, "typical_volume": 124707.7, "trend": 28.932041, "fair_value": 24.327485, "relative_strength": 13.789038, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.266427, "energy": 86.857008, "activity_lines": [ 34.038534, 32.575048, 30.947931, 30.059533 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.98, "volume": 205265, "typical_volume": 129694.4, "trend": 29.226517, "fair_value": 24.405445, "relative_strength": 16.824611, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.085735, "energy": 78.447013, "activity_lines": [ 34.513876, 33.242362, 31.444264, 30.449724 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.1, "volume": 212891, "typical_volume": 136145.25, "trend": 29.53895, "fair_value": 24.48324, "relative_strength": 16.180329, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.003573, "energy": 60.262479, "activity_lines": [ 34.700075, 33.800039, 31.915823, 30.828658 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.38, "volume": 117405, "typical_volume": 135176.75, "trend": 29.846177, "fair_value": 24.561458, "relative_strength": 11.116446, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.89049, "energy": 59.679658, "activity_lines": [ 34.980667, 34.290079, 32.375536, 31.2055 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }