{ "ticker": { "uuid": "57b2370b-9505-4b95-a517-decc8d78993a", "symbol": "3205", "name": "Sagittarius Life Science Corp", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 69.439, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.387, "architecture_energy": 65.748, "architecture_maturity": 16.125, "architecture_confidence": 92.53, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.02, "rotation_up": 13.09, "upward_expansion": 14.86, "deceleration": 38.33, "rotation_down": 65.76, "downward_expansion": 88.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.913333, 49.931818, 52.013571, 52.864839 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 48.950001, "trend_reference": 53.008334, "distance_from_trend": -0.07656, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 44.244872, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.106343, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.266786, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.035979, "excess_performance": -0.405393, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.07656, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014028, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.106343, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100801, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.332668, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042959, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.035979, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.71482, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 210099, "relative_activity": 0.12911, "balance": 0.71482, "dry_up": 0.171476, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064351, "annualized_volatility": 0.323256, "from_high_reference": -0.269403, "from_low_reference": 0.113766 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.008334, "fair_value_reference": 44.244872, "structural_low": 47.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.066103, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.049114, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.128035, "worst_return": -0.004069, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.068733, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.097575, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.12362, "worst_return": -0.044706, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.031791, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.23159, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.196468, "worst_return": -0.123529, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.059016, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.002083, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.129666, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.092491, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.02246, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.121413, "active": false }, { 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51.316667, 52.490909, 54.181429, 53.958925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.0, "volume": 226309, "typical_volume": 1838800.9, "trend": 53.271667, "fair_value": 44.332051, "relative_strength": -30.736401, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.746376, "energy": 50.965416, "activity_lines": [ 50.733334, 51.915455, 53.723571, 53.746129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.599998, "volume": 529395, "typical_volume": 1842564.6, "trend": 53.125, "fair_value": 44.28141, "relative_strength": -32.46262, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -48.709982, "energy": 62.67752, "activity_lines": [ 49.523333, 50.96, 53.046666, 53.380215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.25, "volume": 150360, "typical_volume": 1831127.3, "trend": 53.063333, "fair_value": 44.258013, "relative_strength": -31.195554, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.778485, "energy": 58.890659, "activity_lines": [ 49.136666, 50.43, 52.542619, 53.130215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 48.950001, "volume": 210099, "typical_volume": 1627289.85, "trend": 53.008334, "fair_value": 44.244872, "relative_strength": -33.266786, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.386503, "energy": 65.747732, "activity_lines": [ 48.913333, 49.931818, 52.013571, 52.864839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }