{ "ticker": { "uuid": "57b4f1a7-ec12-4ea0-98a7-455210b41e30", "symbol": "3527", "name": "Macroblock, Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 70.503, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -21.413, "architecture_energy": 46.121, "architecture_maturity": 8.779, "architecture_confidence": 74.116, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.58, "rotation_up": 14.84, "upward_expansion": 24.01, "deceleration": 50.53, "rotation_down": 63.78, "downward_expansion": 51.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.869079, 55.192779, 57.285061, 57.062229 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 51.900002, "trend_reference": 56.704953, "distance_from_trend": -0.084736, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 72.225701, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.281419, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.348316, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.063579, "excess_performance": -0.504951, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.084736, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021067, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.281419, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063943, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.363483, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029007, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.063579, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.484693, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 280695, "relative_activity": 0.199318, "balance": 1.484693, "dry_up": 0.365783, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135182, "annualized_volatility": 0.489678, "from_high_reference": -0.28503, "from_low_reference": 0.092632 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 56.704953, "fair_value_reference": 72.225701, "structural_low": 47.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.028244, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.030203, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.081921, "worst_return": -0.11545, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.088569, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.154166, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.056027, "worst_return": -0.149717, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.054817, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.189466, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.089983, "worst_return": -0.315152, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.671967, "energy": 13.825127, "activity_lines": [ 57.555746, 59.593749, 59.13508, 58.185454 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 50.799999, "volume": 699283, "typical_volume": 1458395.75, "trend": 56.953651, "fair_value": 72.717943, "relative_strength": -35.83626, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.020168, "energy": 26.147296, "activity_lines": [ 54.732698, 57.914788, 58.472834, 57.773649 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.799999, "volume": 314512, "typical_volume": 1412407.0, "trend": 56.773365, "fair_value": 72.461143, "relative_strength": -36.444691, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.300098, "energy": 34.269432, "activity_lines": [ 52.675682, 56.405506, 57.823265, 57.376639 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 51.900002, "volume": 280695, "typical_volume": 1408277.4, "trend": 56.704953, "fair_value": 72.225701, "relative_strength": -36.348316, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.412789, "energy": 46.120695, "activity_lines": [ 51.869079, 55.192779, 57.285061, 57.062229 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }