{ "ticker": { "uuid": "57b7e3c0-17c3-4946-a03f-883c346f77e0", "symbol": "LDEG", "name": "L&G Europe ex-UK Quality Dividends Equal Weight ETF EUR Dis", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 97.136, "architecture_energy": 98.737, "architecture_maturity": 42.766, "architecture_confidence": 71.816, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.52, "rotation_up": 90.89, "upward_expansion": 99.92, "deceleration": 39.02, "rotation_down": 8.33, "downward_expansion": 21.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.960534, 16.68108, 16.321232, 16.012475 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 17.346001, "trend_reference": 15.632933, "distance_from_trend": 0.109581, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.986837, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.447087, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.767477, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.151452, "excess_performance": 0.068568, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.109581, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054823, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.447087, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066536, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.057675, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030838, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.151452, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 15.493036, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10226, "relative_activity": 1.666911, "balance": 15.493036, "dry_up": 0.697304, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.012282, "annualized_volatility": 0.123529, "from_high_reference": -0.000461, "from_low_reference": 0.311591 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.632933, "fair_value_reference": 11.986837, "structural_low": 14.176109, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.01445, "positive_rate": 0.676471, "directional_follow_through": 0.676471, "median_excess_return": 0.016366, "regime_survival": 0.794118, "best_return": 0.086369, "worst_return": -0.083336, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.041465, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": 0.019203, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.109056, "worst_return": -0.021843, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.130762, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.053779, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.176214, "worst_return": 0.010088, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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15.457586, "fair_value": 11.88393, "relative_strength": 4.045662, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.928891, "energy": 96.465363, "activity_lines": [ 16.490667, 16.348007, 16.057139, 15.794928 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.028, "volume": 631, "typical_volume": 5727.9, "trend": 15.544433, "fair_value": 11.934295, "relative_strength": 5.381478, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.508318, "energy": 97.361105, "activity_lines": [ 16.699734, 16.497372, 16.18023, 15.896245 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.346001, "volume": 10226, "typical_volume": 6134.7, "trend": 15.632933, "fair_value": 11.986837, "relative_strength": 5.767477, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 97.135705, "energy": 98.737142, "activity_lines": [ 16.960534, 16.68108, 16.321232, 16.012475 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }