{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "57cfb202-d70f-498b-b244-3d1a181e8e95",
    "symbol": "UMI-B",
    "name": "CI U.S. MidCap Dividend Index ETF NonHedged",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 91.814,
    "architecture_energy": 76.668,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.64,
    "architecture_confidence": 54.01,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.26,
        "rotation_up": 80.55,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 68.53,
        "rotation_down": 11.78,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        46.285255,
        45.821901
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 48.330002,
    "trend_reference": 45.147048,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.070502,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 39.738202,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.21621,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.871394,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.135268,
    "excess_performance": 0.014847,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070502,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038375,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.21621,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069744,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018714,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057383,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135268,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.147389,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1806,
      "relative_activity": 7.224,
      "balance": 1.147389,
      "dry_up": 3.206,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.009954,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.100103,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005965,
      "from_low_reference": 0.180709
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 45.147048,
      "fair_value_reference": 39.738202,
      "structural_low": 43.694291,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.002071,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010293,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.07612,
        "worst_return": -0.08074,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.028085,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
        "best_return": 0.14957,
        "worst_return": -0.08701,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.02923,
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 88.35,
        "trend": 43.230263,
        "fair_value": 38.289815,
        "relative_strength": -7.391023,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 52.51083,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 43.288115,
        "fair_value": 38.381228,
        "relative_strength": -7.609666,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 41.926532,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 43.342306,
        "fair_value": 38.471557,
        "relative_strength": -6.954494,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        "trend": 43.396498,
        "fair_value": 38.561886,
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        "energy": 57.672064,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "trend": 43.478552,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 44.795187,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 44.868496,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 143.05,
        "trend": 43.593631,
        "fair_value": 38.761737,
        "relative_strength": -5.565922,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.462399,
        "energy": 30.471286,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 44.868496,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 128.05,
        "trend": 43.697164,
        "fair_value": 38.862301,
        "relative_strength": -6.734773,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 57.473215,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 46.042698,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 118.05,
        "trend": 43.839836,
        "fair_value": 38.968925,
        "relative_strength": -4.163738,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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        "direction": 83.577139,
        "energy": 73.721579,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 47.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 118.05,
        "trend": 44.014419,
        "fair_value": 39.081685,
        "relative_strength": -2.000668,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 96.727677,
        "energy": 98.650836,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.87885,
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          44.646163
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 47.330002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 89.7,
        "trend": 44.200002,
        "fair_value": 39.196561,
        "relative_strength": -1.84837,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 98.237666,
        "energy": 99.346617,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 47.330002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 89.7,
        "trend": 44.385585,
        "fair_value": 39.311437,
        "relative_strength": -1.791255,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.641414,
        "energy": 96.715583,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.928261,
          46.05402,
          45.420682,
          45.062007
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 47.689999,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 109.7,
        "trend": 44.583168,
        "fair_value": 39.428621,
        "relative_strength": -0.760775,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.626574,
        "energy": 96.006298,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.32018,
          46.474399,
          45.662445,
          45.275195
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 47.209999,
        "volume": 1000,
        "typical_volume": 159.7,
        "trend": 44.758683,
        "fair_value": 39.542727,
        "relative_strength": -1.849891,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.629546,
        "energy": 88.492998,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.364,
          46.740464,
          45.84535,
          45.444668
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 47.209999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 159.7,
        "trend": 44.934199,
        "fair_value": 39.636875,
        "relative_strength": -1.207401,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.283149,
        "energy": 84.785777,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.33,
          46.945141,
          46.017398,
          45.602817
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 48.330002,
        "volume": 1806,
        "typical_volume": 250.0,
        "trend": 45.147048,
        "fair_value": 39.738202,
        "relative_strength": -1.871394,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.81402,
        "energy": 76.667673,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.655334,
          47.292065,
          46.285255,
          45.821901
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}