{ "ticker": { "uuid": "57d4ed4f-35f2-4173-bfba-1caa696ee62c", "symbol": "BWET", "name": "AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE TANKER SHIPPING ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.294, "architecture_energy": 85.752, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.721, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.59, "rotation_up": 80.89, "upward_expansion": 95.11, "deceleration": 41.95, "rotation_down": 9.33, "downward_expansion": 19.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 259.285907, 229.545253, 204.675923, 178.749912 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 287.205, "trend_reference": 139.69585, "distance_from_trend": 1.055931, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 39.260524, "distance_from_fair_value": 6.315363, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 201.814824, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 6.137301, "excess_performance": 6.011676, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 1.055931, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.840605, "read": "Rising" 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"invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.19905, "positive_rate": 0.916667, "directional_follow_through": 0.916667, "median_excess_return": 0.196917, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 1.735729, "worst_return": -0.150391, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 1.491846, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 1.485101, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 1.772426, "worst_return": 0.820665, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 3.536817, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 3.467292, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 3.536817, "worst_return": 3.536817, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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237.567653, 213.866353, 193.998259, 168.672644 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 287.205, "volume": 1018241, "typical_volume": 688560.85, "trend": 139.69585, "fair_value": 39.260524, "relative_strength": 201.814824, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.294229, "energy": 85.751995, "activity_lines": [ 259.285907, 229.545253, 204.675923, 178.749912 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }