{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "57d6ea6e-d124-480d-b637-3b3144f6c045",
    "symbol": "SEBS",
    "name": "SEB SA",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 89.069,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.957,
    "architecture_energy": 79.75,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.697,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.455,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.56,
        "rotation_up": 77.3,
        "upward_expansion": 90.33,
        "deceleration": 44.8,
        "rotation_down": 11.44,
        "downward_expansion": 19.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        55.52,
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        51.650673,
        50.194387
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 58.75,
    "trend_reference": 48.605468,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.208712,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 74.80304,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.214604,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.409635,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.250144,
    "excess_performance": 0.075897,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.208712,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042902,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.214604,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123727,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044096,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.188847,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.250144,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.007299,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 1.007299,
      "dry_up": 1.376769,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.067422,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.396945,
      "from_high_reference": -0.092664,
      "from_low_reference": 0.512595
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 48.605468,
      "fair_value_reference": 74.80304,
      "structural_low": 38.840539,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.005293,
        "positive_rate": 0.416667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.416667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005659,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.263441,
        "worst_return": -0.159892,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": 0.002698,
        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": 0.024528,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "trend": 46.175719,
        "fair_value": 77.789314,
        "relative_strength": -26.064559,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 23.735227,
        "energy": 32.354153,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.576214,
          46.33329,
          46.147431,
          46.149304
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 51.317566,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 164.45,
        "trend": 46.254548,
        "fair_value": 77.557811,
        "relative_strength": -23.294285,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.345481,
        "energy": 59.793863,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.916935,
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          46.639232,
          46.481036
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 49.236485,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 164.45,
        "trend": 46.375944,
        "fair_value": 77.304026,
        "relative_strength": -24.910619,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.690064,
        "energy": 65.562889,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.968016,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 49.040001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 164.45,
        "trend": 46.438449,
        "fair_value": 77.048424,
        "relative_strength": -25.565765,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.288146,
        "energy": 53.206969,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.688107,
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          46.845293
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 50.450001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 164.45,
        "trend": 46.605972,
        "fair_value": 76.867266,
        "relative_strength": -24.169383,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.284153,
        "energy": 50.307095,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.881838,
          49.196569,
          47.501713,
          47.104103
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 52.799999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 164.45,
        "trend": 46.889665,
        "fair_value": 76.708626,
        "relative_strength": -18.492272,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.171029,
        "energy": 56.06689,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.847369,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 55.349998,
        "volume": 232,
        "typical_volume": 165.8,
        "trend": 47.228719,
        "fair_value": 76.561746,
        "relative_strength": -15.5173,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.381112,
        "energy": 75.96583,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.441098,
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          48.049546
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 52.400002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 155.55,
        "trend": 47.470701,
        "fair_value": 76.381048,
        "relative_strength": -21.956069,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.940558,
        "energy": 72.399509,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.782667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 46.220001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 104.25,
        "trend": 47.476413,
        "fair_value": 76.14726,
        "relative_strength": -28.457079,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.520649,
        "energy": 33.130711,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.853334,
          50.804029,
          49.137734,
          48.302487
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 48.900002,
        "volume": 214,
        "typical_volume": 114.95,
        "trend": 47.555062,
        "fair_value": 75.929506,
        "relative_strength": -24.689991,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.85801,
        "energy": 23.18209,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.005334,
          50.484683,
          49.223253,
          48.394331
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 46.5,
        "volume": 1370,
        "typical_volume": 183.45,
        "trend": 47.509567,
        "fair_value": 75.674866,
        "relative_strength": -25.978337,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.0971,
        "energy": 18.784404,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.460668,
          49.75401,
          49.080677,
          48.326263
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 50.099998,
        "volume": 720,
        "typical_volume": 219.45,
        "trend": 47.648395,
        "fair_value": 75.441296,
        "relative_strength": -17.239626,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.887031,
        "energy": 25.292833,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.536,
          49.731936,
          49.293087,
          48.493387
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 53.25,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 168.45,
        "trend": 47.874567,
        "fair_value": 75.215878,
        "relative_strength": -12.307728,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.93116,
        "energy": 21.085809,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.011333,
          50.304727,
          49.80071,
          48.854781
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 58.150002,
        "volume": 214,
        "typical_volume": 179.15,
        "trend": 48.261549,
        "fair_value": 75.006102,
        "relative_strength": -3.385201,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.963247,
        "energy": 57.418614,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.063334,
          51.695455,
          50.7326,
          49.517712
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 58.75,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 169.6,
        "trend": 48.605468,
        "fair_value": 74.80304,
        "relative_strength": -4.409635,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.957218,
        "energy": 79.750372,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.52,
          53.029637,
          51.650673,
          50.194387
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}