{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "57e00395-263c-4f5b-9f1f-06e935bd4a2f",
    "symbol": "SLGN",
    "name": "Silgan Holdings Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 64.127,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 9.548,
    "architecture_energy": 10.872,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.689,
    "architecture_confidence": 57.479,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.23,
        "rotation_up": 34.1,
        "upward_expansion": 37.76,
        "deceleration": 61.3,
        "rotation_down": 36.32,
        "downward_expansion": 24.09
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        43.14,
        43.795818,
        42.152236,
        41.898619
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 41.71,
    "trend_reference": 42.162551,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.010733,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 45.292224,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.079091,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.374845,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.137672,
    "excess_performance": -0.263297,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010733,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030268,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079091,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040621,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.113748,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093104,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.137672,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.832866,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4929067,
      "relative_activity": 1.006601,
      "balance": 0.832866,
      "dry_up": 1.722405,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.08489,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.420083,
      "from_high_reference": -0.149158,
      "from_low_reference": 0.172159
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 42.162551,
      "fair_value_reference": 45.292224,
      "structural_low": 35.68,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.005692,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034928,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.038749,
        "worst_return": -0.138176,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.015006,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.035164,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.144194,
        "worst_return": -0.172411,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.012091,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.132328,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.154353,
        "worst_return": -0.264826,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.179258,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.088622,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.312213,
        "worst_return": -0.291064,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.12076,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.033166,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.002788,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016764,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017513,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.083567,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005073,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017181,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.062824,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.103258,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.061251,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-05-29",
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        "return": -0.009232,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "return": 0.26208,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.100884,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 4111024.65,
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        "fair_value": 45.271695,
        "relative_strength": -4.66838,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 5586359,
        "typical_volume": 4194422.4,
        "trend": 42.009206,
        "fair_value": 45.281619,
        "relative_strength": 2.308546,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 39.948742,
        "energy": 67.128696,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 46.43,
        "volume": 10061945,
        "typical_volume": 4479156.3,
        "trend": 42.209056,
        "fair_value": 45.310544,
        "relative_strength": 2.029914,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.004393,
        "energy": 65.077991,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 39.98,
        "volume": 13159335,
        "typical_volume": 4916110.55,
        "trend": 42.181374,
        "fair_value": 45.29934,
        "relative_strength": -12.569984,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 15.485825,
        "energy": 21.392303,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.234,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.71,
        "volume": 4929067,
        "typical_volume": 4896745.5,
        "trend": 42.162551,
        "fair_value": 45.292224,
        "relative_strength": -11.374845,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 9.5478,
        "energy": 10.872037,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}