{ "ticker": { "uuid": "57e1be74-aa9f-4fad-a6e6-e174e34ea5ae", "symbol": "XTWY", "name": "BONDBLOXX ETF TRUST BLOOMBERG TWENTY YR TRGT DURTN US TRSRY", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 72.798, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.94, "architecture_energy": 75.727, "architecture_maturity": 41.302, "architecture_confidence": 75.878, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.89, "rotation_up": 8.64, "upward_expansion": 17.01, "deceleration": 37.04, "rotation_down": 79.92, "downward_expansion": 95.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.594241, 36.150715, 36.462058, 36.703599 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 35.4963, "trend_reference": 37.024249, "distance_from_trend": -0.041269, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 37.356963, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.049808, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.296414, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.049786, "excess_performance": -0.175411, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.041269, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00967, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.049808, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031468, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.152964, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037029, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.049786, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.839429, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 420378, "relative_activity": 1.828056, "balance": 2.839429, "dry_up": 1.012906, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023837, "annualized_volatility": 0.117441, "from_high_reference": -0.097093, "from_low_reference": 0.016451 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.024249, "fair_value_reference": 37.356963, "structural_low": 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"volume": 118899, "typical_volume": 219846.55, "trend": 37.155086, "fair_value": 37.394012, "relative_strength": -11.61897, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.211016, "energy": 59.2378, "activity_lines": [ 36.302545, 36.658973, 36.747224, 36.939871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.086076, "volume": 163964, "typical_volume": 212908.75, "trend": 37.089505, "fair_value": 37.372429, "relative_strength": -13.707483, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.243601, "energy": 77.559942, "activity_lines": [ 35.786729, 36.356518, 36.580333, 36.806387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.4963, "volume": 420378, "typical_volume": 229959.1, "trend": 37.024249, "fair_value": 37.356963, "relative_strength": -15.296414, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.939688, "energy": 75.72749, "activity_lines": [ 35.594241, 36.150715, 36.462058, 36.703599 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }