{ "ticker": { "uuid": "58081979-0717-447e-a8b0-bf8d2961bec8", "symbol": "688280", "name": "Jing-jin Electric Technologies Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.968, "architecture_energy": 70.636, "architecture_maturity": 61.19, "architecture_confidence": 94.363, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.53, "rotation_up": 29.09, "upward_expansion": 15.61, "deceleration": 43.59, "rotation_down": 53.72, "downward_expansion": 88.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.176667, 5.277273, 5.963619, 6.931054 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.8, "trend_reference": 8.088333, "distance_from_trend": -0.282918, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.648333, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.127601, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.982964, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.480752, "excess_performance": -0.437548, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.282918, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109312, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.127601, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1725, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.28983, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050355, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.480752, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.77624, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 132366972, "relative_activity": 1.671573, "balance": 0.77624, "dry_up": 1.099144, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.12321, "annualized_volatility": 0.811266, "from_high_reference": -0.520661, "from_low_reference": 0.39759 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.088333, "fair_value_reference": 6.648333, "structural_low": 4.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.010582, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": 0.01104, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.303279, "worst_return": -0.322493, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.176591, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.112341, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.201995, "worst_return": -0.235479, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.042959, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.109338, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.059269, "worst_return": -0.432249, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.065789, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.143266, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.150193, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.067606, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.136, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.149567, 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"trend": 8.418, "fair_value": 6.723782, "relative_strength": -42.80363, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.663997, "energy": 76.948246, "activity_lines": [ 5.168, 5.487818, 6.619429, 7.537785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.37, "volume": 53224767, "typical_volume": 81665431.55, "trend": 8.291333, "fair_value": 6.690769, "relative_strength": -45.410885, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.301338, "energy": 83.186305, "activity_lines": [ 4.824, 5.242727, 6.296714, 7.276624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.32, "volume": 111367656, "typical_volume": 79879857.0, "trend": 8.185, "fair_value": 6.666026, "relative_strength": -33.430702, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.85687, "energy": 86.579139, "activity_lines": [ 4.918, 5.209091, 6.094381, 7.084925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.8, "volume": 132366972, "typical_volume": 79187058.85, "trend": 8.088333, "fair_value": 6.648333, "relative_strength": -28.982964, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.967618, "energy": 70.636029, "activity_lines": [ 5.176667, 5.277273, 5.963619, 6.931054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }