{ "ticker": { "uuid": "580b69ff-a162-48cc-a91e-fb6e09dddf40", "symbol": "002219", "name": "New Journey Health Technology Group Co.,LTD", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.707, "architecture_energy": 25.007, "architecture_maturity": 76.48, "architecture_confidence": 72.192, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.15, "rotation_up": 30.85, "upward_expansion": 20.37, "deceleration": 46.89, "rotation_down": 23.27, "downward_expansion": 56.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.058, 1.994545, 2.062667, 2.144473 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2.14, "trend_reference": 2.237333, "distance_from_trend": -0.043504, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.484808, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.138766, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.138767, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.08547, "excess_performance": -0.09287, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.043504, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040183, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.138766, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025341, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.081388, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081035, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.08547, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.699834, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 313573532, "relative_activity": 0.786058, "balance": 0.699834, "dry_up": 1.207117, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071172, "annualized_volatility": 0.379708, "from_high_reference": -0.279461, "from_low_reference": 0.229885 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.237333, "fair_value_reference": 2.484808, "structural_low": 1.74, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.0131, "positive_rate": 0.37037, "directional_follow_through": 0.592593, "median_excess_return": -0.02589, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.425414, "worst_return": -0.236301, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.080681, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.109219, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.535294, "worst_return": -0.254386, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.013043, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.145355, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.711765, "worst_return": -0.358491, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.147287, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.040146, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.01581, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.088, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.004348, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Established", 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1.960727, 2.09681, 2.179204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.97, "volume": 384475778, "typical_volume": 402102653.8, "trend": 2.241, "fair_value": 2.512692, "relative_strength": -13.17677, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.592336, "energy": 48.686723, "activity_lines": [ 1.941333, 1.950727, 2.074238, 2.161118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.08, "volume": 525828176, "typical_volume": 404024321.95, "trend": 2.237, "fair_value": 2.497756, "relative_strength": -6.480053, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.069812, "energy": 28.359495, "activity_lines": [ 2.000667, 1.966182, 2.064667, 2.150731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.14, "volume": 313573532, "typical_volume": 398919282.05, "trend": 2.237333, "fair_value": 2.484808, "relative_strength": -8.138767, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.706973, "energy": 25.007364, "activity_lines": [ 2.058, 1.994545, 2.062667, 2.144473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }