{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "58110c81-dce2-4198-a2ad-a28cda41c6e5",
    "symbol": "IBB",
    "name": "iShares Biotechnology ETF",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.227,
    "architecture_energy": 65.435,
    "architecture_maturity": 53.786,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.62,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.17,
        "rotation_up": 57.85,
        "upward_expansion": 83.0,
        "deceleration": 71.48,
        "rotation_down": 23.53,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 3360.0,
    "trend_reference": 3058.833756,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.098458,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2634.095974,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.27558,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.634487,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.120799,
    "excess_performance": 0.175466,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098458,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018501,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.27558,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128855,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106345,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.155818,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.120799,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.252206,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 110,
      "relative_activity": 0.337061,
      "balance": 0.252206,
      "dry_up": 2.098207,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.026624,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.194276,
      "from_high_reference": -0.037249,
      "from_low_reference": 0.347237
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 2634.095974,
      "structural_low": 2858.280029,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.01742,
        "positive_rate": 0.35,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.35,
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        "worst_return": -0.053663,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 3003.45734,
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        "relative_strength": -5.301708,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 259.15,
        "trend": 3003.269206,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 0.476258,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 20,
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        "trend": 3002.469572,
        "fair_value": 2575.858054,
        "relative_strength": -2.229703,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -52.021483,
        "energy": 33.260614,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 3199.0,
        "volume": 10,
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        "relative_strength": 6.397958,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 3232.120117,
        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 3007.578629,
        "fair_value": 2589.162159,
        "relative_strength": 7.967707,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "direction": 60.725149,
        "energy": 76.678751,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 2596.929932,
        "relative_strength": 11.370963,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 3460.0,
        "volume": 353,
        "typical_volume": 212.3,
        "trend": 3027.904704,
        "fair_value": 2605.304503,
        "relative_strength": 15.934991,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 95.076545,
        "energy": 98.224151,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3323.0,
        "volume": 1682,
        "typical_volume": 292.2,
        "trend": 3036.577515,
        "fair_value": 2612.215698,
        "relative_strength": 10.765171,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.227289,
        "energy": 88.401402,
        "activity_lines": [
          3342.149349,
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          3065.575673
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3308.0,
        "volume": 672,
        "typical_volume": 323.25,
        "trend": 3043.584489,
        "fair_value": 2619.61591,
        "relative_strength": 10.383865,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.161453,
        "energy": 88.221433,
        "activity_lines": [
          3341.341341,
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          3127.51222,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3236.100098,
        "volume": 275,
        "typical_volume": 332.85,
        "trend": 3050.659709,
        "fair_value": 2626.509698,
        "relative_strength": 6.885806,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.160325,
        "energy": 66.346676,
        "activity_lines": [
          3309.300033,
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          3144.372607,
          3095.507163
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3360.0,
        "volume": 110,
        "typical_volume": 326.35,
        "trend": 3058.833756,
        "fair_value": 2634.095974,
        "relative_strength": 10.634487,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.226601,
        "energy": 65.43479,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}