{ "ticker": { "uuid": "581df43d-caf4-4a7a-828f-1f2e7b4a6a58", "symbol": "DTR", "name": "Dateline Resources Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.866, "architecture_energy": 78.177, "architecture_maturity": 62.333, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.25, "rotation_up": 29.42, "upward_expansion": 18.6, "deceleration": 39.76, "rotation_down": 59.81, "downward_expansion": 96.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.126333, 0.132091, 0.163238, 0.210828 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.125, "trend_reference": 0.266, "distance_from_trend": -0.530075, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.107683, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.160818, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -58.015625, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.561404, "excess_performance": -0.625109, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.530075, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126437, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.160818, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.309898, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.580156, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.473473, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.561404, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.05925, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.05925, "dry_up": 0.740654, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.252308, "annualized_volatility": 1.138133, "from_high_reference": -0.814815, "from_low_reference": 0.136364 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.266, "fair_value_reference": 0.107683, "structural_low": 0.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.024569, "positive_rate": 0.28125, "directional_follow_through": 0.53125, "median_excess_return": -0.040557, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.6875, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.238062, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.233144, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.0, "worst_return": -0.56044, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.118056, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.165249, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 27.0, "worst_return": -0.802198, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.33427, 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"volume": 33058069, "typical_volume": 64699679.7, "trend": 0.280167, "fair_value": 0.10501, "relative_strength": -52.391307, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.827071, "energy": 75.419686, "activity_lines": [ 0.141333, 0.152273, 0.211, 0.249409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.13, "volume": 87935291, "typical_volume": 65600458.85, "trend": 0.277667, "fair_value": 0.105696, "relative_strength": -54.119942, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.679057, "energy": 79.885464, "activity_lines": [ 0.137667, 0.145364, 0.197429, 0.23972 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.125, "volume": 46537470, "typical_volume": 64524367.35, "trend": 0.274167, "fair_value": 0.106349, "relative_strength": -55.726773, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.564653, "energy": 78.100406, "activity_lines": [ 0.131333, 0.139545, 0.184714, 0.229871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.125, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 60175987.3, "trend": 0.271, "fair_value": 0.107016, "relative_strength": -56.69239, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.171416, "energy": 78.345756, "activity_lines": [ 0.128333, 0.135182, 0.173286, 0.220247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.125, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 45389847.6, "trend": 0.266, "fair_value": 0.107683, "relative_strength": -58.015625, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.866137, "energy": 78.177222, "activity_lines": [ 0.126333, 0.132091, 0.163238, 0.210828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }