{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5822b507-c619-4649-8b1c-6bb7483f0a96",
    "symbol": "XUIN",
    "name": "Xtrackers MSCI USA Industrials UCITS ETF 1D",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.296,
    "architecture_energy": 48.1,
    "architecture_maturity": 78.597,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.785,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.43,
        "rotation_up": 47.25,
        "upward_expansion": 73.19,
        "deceleration": 71.35,
        "rotation_down": 27.42,
        "downward_expansion": 11.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        117.332666,
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        115.585333,
        114.006935
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 119.110001,
    "trend_reference": 112.138727,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.062167,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 88.980385,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.33861,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.482252,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.078601,
    "excess_performance": 0.027366,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062167,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05472,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.33861,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010847,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034823,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016534,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078601,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.314598,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4659,
      "relative_activity": 0.41325,
      "balance": 1.314598,
      "dry_up": 0.620673,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022767,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.139516,
      "from_high_reference": -0.01055,
      "from_low_reference": 0.255917
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 112.138727,
      "fair_value_reference": 88.980385,
      "structural_low": 101.559998,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.00642,
        "positive_rate": 0.59375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.59375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003179,
        "regime_survival": 0.78125,
        "best_return": 0.064346,
        "worst_return": -0.061508,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.02523,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
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        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
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        "worst_return": -0.063074,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003034,
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        "worst_return": 0.019505,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.09537,
        "sufficient": false
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        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "typical_volume": 21334.25,
        "trend": 104.043884,
        "fair_value": 84.114661,
        "relative_strength": 3.235937,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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        "energy": 51.380861,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 84.443001,
        "relative_strength": 3.880303,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 22516.1,
        "trend": 104.973205,
        "fair_value": 84.774213,
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        "direction": 64.124796,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 22694.75,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 60.708368,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 34438,
        "typical_volume": 24409.65,
        "trend": 105.882702,
        "fair_value": 85.423864,
        "relative_strength": 2.018134,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.817073,
        "energy": 43.276162,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 112.739998,
        "volume": 7548,
        "typical_volume": 23781.0,
        "trend": 106.320869,
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        "relative_strength": 3.277838,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 41.945512,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 86.0766,
        "relative_strength": 4.729191,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 66.178684,
        "energy": 44.518515,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 113.959999,
        "volume": 2701,
        "typical_volume": 19234.9,
        "trend": 107.408547,
        "fair_value": 86.389752,
        "relative_strength": 3.578677,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 64.82643,
        "energy": 47.148049,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 117.220001,
        "volume": 62,
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        "trend": 108.139653,
        "fair_value": 86.729933,
        "relative_strength": 7.486784,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 72.275204,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 117.650002,
        "volume": 311,
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        "trend": 108.777969,
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        "relative_strength": 6.300983,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.186516,
        "energy": 82.373672,
        "activity_lines": [
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          112.549576,
          111.215979
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 119.080002,
        "volume": 39,
        "typical_volume": 15672.25,
        "trend": 109.435761,
        "fair_value": 87.39983,
        "relative_strength": 5.802087,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.12722,
        "energy": 91.280061,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 117.220001,
        "volume": 9794,
        "typical_volume": 15025.75,
        "trend": 110.009332,
        "fair_value": 87.72044,
        "relative_strength": 5.876714,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.202066,
        "energy": 85.277163,
        "activity_lines": [
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          112.382836
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 116.18,
        "volume": 4167,
        "typical_volume": 14624.0,
        "trend": 110.570126,
        "fair_value": 88.027757,
        "relative_strength": 3.888301,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.833343,
        "energy": 77.422626,
        "activity_lines": [
          117.302668,
          116.283637,
          114.184714,
          112.780943
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 118.099998,
        "volume": 3229,
        "typical_volume": 13698.8,
        "trend": 111.150146,
        "fair_value": 88.345709,
        "relative_strength": 4.2381,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.549114,
        "energy": 60.441213,
        "activity_lines": [
          117.512667,
          116.819637,
          114.751238,
          113.266741
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 115.139999,
        "volume": 15935,
        "typical_volume": 12819.85,
        "trend": 111.626857,
        "fair_value": 88.649146,
        "relative_strength": 0.38586,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.131916,
        "energy": 38.945604,
        "activity_lines": [
          116.677333,
          116.699455,
          115.000571,
          113.524151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 119.110001,
        "volume": 4659,
        "typical_volume": 11274.05,
        "trend": 112.138727,
        "fair_value": 88.980385,
        "relative_strength": 3.482252,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.29555,
        "energy": 48.100429,
        "activity_lines": [
          117.332666,
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          114.006935
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}