{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5835ed33-cf64-4c63-b226-4bc9e5e52315", "symbol": "600981", "name": "Jiangsu High Hope International Group Corporation", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.237, "architecture_energy": 53.717, "architecture_maturity": 72.81, "architecture_confidence": 93.5, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.09, "rotation_up": 27.31, "upward_expansion": 9.12, "deceleration": 60.42, "rotation_down": 51.68, "downward_expansion": 82.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.301324, 2.322692, 2.458787, 2.623403 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.39, "trend_reference": 2.84919, "distance_from_trend": -0.161165, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.663496, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.102683, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.373256, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.30117, "excess_performance": -0.257966, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.161165, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08337, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.102683, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.163532, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.183733, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049855, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.30117, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.407354, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 88088238, "relative_activity": 0.97629, "balance": 0.407354, "dry_up": 1.075642, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 7 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080576, "annualized_volatility": 0.324776, "from_high_reference": -0.417073, "from_low_reference": 0.121831 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.84919, "fair_value_reference": 2.663496, "structural_low": 2.130446, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.47619, "median_excess_return": 0.011511, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.287425, "worst_return": -0.179039, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.065454, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.017792, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.719745, "worst_return": -0.266355, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.116254, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.121336, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.272727, "worst_return": -0.241135, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 2.28311, 2.391913, 2.572535, 2.74202 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.17, "volume": 96365220, "typical_volume": 94120798.2, "trend": 2.907524, "fair_value": 2.671761, "relative_strength": -24.353465, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.779429, "energy": 86.483965, "activity_lines": [ 2.232577, 2.337991, 2.517365, 2.691901 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.33, "volume": 96802211, "typical_volume": 92427677.75, "trend": 2.87419, "fair_value": 2.668043, "relative_strength": -18.675491, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.151837, "energy": 63.113553, "activity_lines": [ 2.258625, 2.322614, 2.482862, 2.654641 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.39, "volume": 88088238, "typical_volume": 90227555.55, "trend": 2.84919, "fair_value": 2.663496, "relative_strength": -18.373256, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.237458, "energy": 53.717431, "activity_lines": [ 2.301324, 2.322692, 2.458787, 2.623403 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }