{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5836c1c6-08a5-4c7c-a8aa-5d10ff8e2259", "symbol": "000799", "name": "Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.368, "architecture_energy": 25.513, "architecture_maturity": 82.976, "architecture_confidence": 60.986, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.86, "rotation_up": 23.14, "upward_expansion": 13.56, "deceleration": 65.86, "rotation_down": 42.2, "downward_expansion": 65.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.222985, 39.992508, 40.804098, 42.161147 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 41.52, "trend_reference": 44.952042, "distance_from_trend": -0.076349, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 54.043123, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.231725, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -22.879031, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.269271, "excess_performance": -0.276671, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.076349, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118513, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.231725, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02228, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.22879, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092591, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.269271, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.596714, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 59210937, "relative_activity": 1.554478, "balance": 0.596714, "dry_up": 1.522531, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092976, "annualized_volatility": 0.417944, "from_high_reference": -0.459375, "from_low_reference": 0.123681 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.952042, "fair_value_reference": 54.043123, 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41.238197, 43.232059 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.759674, "volume": 47581550, "typical_volume": 35498360.75, "trend": 45.874376, "fair_value": 54.650761, "relative_strength": -28.072283, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.987464, "energy": 47.511381, "activity_lines": [ 38.666278, 39.555282, 40.80592, 42.670292 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 41.849998, "volume": 65580699, "typical_volume": 37271489.35, "trend": 45.387376, "fair_value": 54.351323, "relative_strength": -18.636821, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.33999, "energy": 35.931436, "activity_lines": [ 39.51686, 39.82144, 40.807676, 42.410655 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.52, "volume": 59210937, "typical_volume": 38090571.55, "trend": 44.952042, "fair_value": 54.043123, "relative_strength": -22.879031, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.368178, "energy": 25.513132, "activity_lines": [ 40.222985, 39.992508, 40.804098, 42.161147 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }