{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "583e84fe-1d91-4ae4-b692-5e22c34c1c24",
    "symbol": "STEW",
    "name": "SRH Total Return Fund Inc.",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 57.268,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.598,
    "architecture_energy": 86.025,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.031,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.749,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.68,
        "rotation_up": 84.79,
        "upward_expansion": 96.88,
        "deceleration": 39.04,
        "rotation_down": 8.81,
        "downward_expansion": 18.88
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
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    "latest_close": 18.76,
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    "distance_from_trend": 0.062891,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 15.405257,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.217766,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.306006,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.032208,
    "excess_performance": -0.093417,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062891,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003378,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.217766,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034892,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05306,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047665,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032208,
        "read": "Positive"
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      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.273442,
        "read": "Demand-led"
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      "relative_activity": 1.040903,
      "balance": 2.273442,
      "dry_up": 0.984826,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
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    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021128,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.122012,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006356,
      "from_low_reference": 0.146343
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 15.405257,
      "structural_low": 16.365084,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.04407,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 423827.7,
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        "fair_value": 14.854013,
        "relative_strength": -7.256947,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 431784.35,
        "trend": 17.566515,
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        "relative_strength": -10.114583,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 429004.85,
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        "relative_strength": -9.836147,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 415445.75,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -9.43026,
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        "energy": 11.661279,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 10.456642,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 294982,
        "typical_volume": 380979.85,
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        "fair_value": 15.208722,
        "relative_strength": -6.888948,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 22.707576,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 17.921967,
        "volume": 476869,
        "typical_volume": 387003.1,
        "trend": 17.601869,
        "fair_value": 15.247383,
        "relative_strength": -8.145127,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.588273,
        "energy": 34.679247,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.784568,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 18.030765,
        "volume": 316179,
        "typical_volume": 385279.2,
        "trend": 17.605696,
        "fair_value": 15.285117,
        "relative_strength": -5.930767,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.180044,
        "energy": 50.618345,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.886361,
          17.756253,
          17.640441,
          17.59351
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 18.1,
        "volume": 303452,
        "typical_volume": 377441.9,
        "trend": 17.608344,
        "fair_value": 15.322547,
        "relative_strength": -4.802537,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.196359,
        "energy": 67.901289,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.99318,
          17.832659,
          17.699207,
          17.625401
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.53,
        "volume": 501656,
        "typical_volume": 383427.9,
        "trend": 17.627606,
        "fair_value": 15.363597,
        "relative_strength": -3.38433,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.801686,
        "energy": 79.090641,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.197177,
          17.977791,
          17.795466,
          17.684862
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.76,
        "volume": 402688,
        "typical_volume": 386864.1,
        "trend": 17.649973,
        "fair_value": 15.405257,
        "relative_strength": -5.306006,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.598215,
        "energy": 86.024904,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.413566,
          18.150015,
          17.905722,
          17.75792
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}