{ "ticker": { "uuid": "584d0d58-2058-4016-bd6a-bbc5cc4ae48b", "symbol": "AGQI", "name": "FIRST TR EXCHANGE TRADED FD VIII ACTIVE GLOBAL QUALITY INCOME ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 86.244, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.031, "architecture_energy": 60.556, "architecture_maturity": 32.872, "architecture_confidence": 76.873, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.24, "rotation_up": 63.11, "upward_expansion": 83.24, "deceleration": 52.22, "rotation_down": 18.81, "downward_expansion": 9.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.403013, 18.274762, 18.073166, 17.893213 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 18.7837, "trend_reference": 17.705502, "distance_from_trend": 0.060896, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.849314, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.264954, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.39699, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.063561, "excess_performance": -0.062064, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.060896, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037159, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.264954, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046854, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.01397, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015415, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.063561, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.18801, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29508, "relative_activity": 0.850918, "balance": 1.18801, "dry_up": 0.66926, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021228, "annualized_volatility": 0.131317, "from_high_reference": -0.003253, "from_low_reference": 0.224378 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.705502, "fair_value_reference": 14.849314, "structural_low": 16.57, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.015897, "positive_rate": 0.785714, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": 0.002139, "regime_survival": 0.928571, "best_return": 0.044187, "worst_return": -0.027993, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.052433, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.027587, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.12233, "worst_return": -0.011528, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.108454, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.031247, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.109392, "worst_return": 0.107515, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.734475, "energy": 38.7535, "activity_lines": [ 18.099761, 18.062876, 17.857738, 17.730767 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.9605, "volume": 11872, "typical_volume": 36645.55, "trend": 17.58163, "fair_value": 14.794889, "relative_strength": -1.334457, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.934255, "energy": 30.469494, "activity_lines": [ 18.04722, 18.056952, 17.89021, 17.758396 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.5345, "volume": 40453, "typical_volume": 35667.85, "trend": 17.64692, "fair_value": 14.821411, "relative_strength": 0.694869, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.392037, "energy": 43.809418, "activity_lines": [ 18.20032, 18.149479, 17.973569, 17.819872 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.7837, "volume": 29508, "typical_volume": 34677.85, "trend": 17.705502, "fair_value": 14.849314, "relative_strength": -1.39699, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.031495, "energy": 60.556459, "activity_lines": [ 18.403013, 18.274762, 18.073166, 17.893213 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }