{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "585e2432-1ffd-4764-922c-83c007b36b28",
    "symbol": "BGIE",
    "name": "Brompton Global Infrastructure ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 91.823,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 2.577,
    "architecture_energy": 12.88,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.45,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.575,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.85,
        "rotation_up": 16.55,
        "upward_expansion": 40.91,
        "deceleration": 78.51,
        "rotation_down": 41.1,
        "downward_expansion": 37.25
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        33.683709,
        33.847163,
        34.013922,
        33.887671
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 33.630001,
    "trend_reference": 33.610693,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.000574,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 26.280486,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.279657,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.984048,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.03034,
    "excess_performance": -0.090082,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000574,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036385,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.279657,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.101149,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.06984,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072208,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03034,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.177059,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 21500,
      "relative_activity": 1.0961,
      "balance": 0.177059,
      "dry_up": 1.140709,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022189,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.121171,
      "from_high_reference": -0.050296,
      "from_low_reference": 0.170295
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 33.610693,
      "fair_value_reference": 26.280486,
      "structural_low": 32.029796,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.022033,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000266,
        "regime_survival": 0.363636,
        "best_return": 0.078229,
        "worst_return": -0.065145,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.03543,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": 0.030731,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.125738,
        "worst_return": -0.016787,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.124547,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017925,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.185122,
        "worst_return": 0.024734,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.107219,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023749,
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        "best_return": 0.243908,
        "worst_return": -0.02947,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.021257,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.078229,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.01664,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003807,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005132,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.155118,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-06-13",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "typical_volume": 30680.0,
        "trend": 31.816294,
        "fair_value": 24.822227,
        "relative_strength": 0.164064,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": 0.621811,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 33580.0,
        "trend": 32.199086,
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        "relative_strength": 0.507008,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 62.978127,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 33885.0,
        "trend": 32.321022,
        "fair_value": 25.220925,
        "relative_strength": -0.96314,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.803595,
        "energy": 50.48494,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 34.329739,
        "volume": 39200,
        "typical_volume": 35375.0,
        "trend": 32.430692,
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        "relative_strength": -2.248618,
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        "direction": 58.375281,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 35190.0,
        "trend": 32.541196,
        "fair_value": 25.418627,
        "relative_strength": -2.662054,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.030906,
        "energy": 33.171163,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 33.951393,
        "volume": 2800,
        "typical_volume": 28835.0,
        "trend": 32.666051,
        "fair_value": 25.51403,
        "relative_strength": -3.575373,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.934412,
        "energy": 27.758575,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -0.846177,
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        "energy": 35.435746,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 1700,
        "typical_volume": 25665.0,
        "trend": 32.961113,
        "fair_value": 25.714622,
        "relative_strength": -3.210224,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.624958,
        "energy": 24.746715,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.244266,
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          33.679509
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 34.175537,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 22200.0,
        "trend": 33.079039,
        "fair_value": 25.812788,
        "relative_strength": -3.437126,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.9514,
        "energy": 26.56034,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.233325,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 33.881989,
        "volume": 39600,
        "typical_volume": 22280.0,
        "trend": 33.202113,
        "fair_value": 25.907309,
        "relative_strength": -4.263563,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.167161,
        "energy": 23.005502,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.134814,
          34.182624,
          34.092509,
          33.809662
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.583469,
        "volume": 17800,
        "typical_volume": 20925.0,
        "trend": 33.318807,
        "fair_value": 25.999752,
        "relative_strength": -4.821345,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 8.851168,
        "energy": 10.311701,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.931467,
          34.060587,
          34.063873,
          33.834266
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 33.832237,
        "volume": 16000,
        "typical_volume": 19780.0,
        "trend": 33.427886,
        "fair_value": 26.092808,
        "relative_strength": -4.211705,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 12.785372,
        "energy": 12.663039,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.835571,
          34.001327,
          34.06356,
          33.86739
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.639999,
        "volume": 34200,
        "typical_volume": 18990.0,
        "trend": 33.52777,
        "fair_value": 26.187011,
        "relative_strength": -4.148734,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.702117,
        "energy": 12.395054,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.747924,
          33.917255,
          34.04096,
          33.881075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 33.630001,
        "volume": 21500,
        "typical_volume": 19615.0,
        "trend": 33.610693,
        "fair_value": 26.280486,
        "relative_strength": -6.984048,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 2.576777,
        "energy": 12.879609,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.683709,
          33.847163,
          34.013922,
          33.887671
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}