{ "ticker": { "uuid": "58723fd1-7a9f-4f44-9e84-3000ae31dd0e", "symbol": "1513", "name": "Chung-Hsin Electric and Machinery Manufacturing Corp.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 57.975, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.003, "architecture_energy": 19.977, "architecture_maturity": 24.52, "architecture_confidence": 76.862, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.32, "rotation_up": 28.35, "upward_expansion": 53.06, "deceleration": 88.92, "rotation_down": 28.99, "downward_expansion": 19.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 161.0, 162.476147, 160.483626, 158.175398 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 170.0, "trend_reference": 157.008552, "distance_from_trend": 0.082744, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 144.901125, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.173214, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.193252, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.111439, "excess_performance": -0.329933, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082744, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044516, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.173214, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.142336, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.211933, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.145737, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.111439, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.247762, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29315234, "relative_activity": 0.74618, "balance": 2.247762, "dry_up": 0.483032, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080088, "annualized_volatility": 0.312272, "from_high_reference": -0.123566, "from_low_reference": 0.236233 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 157.008552, "fair_value_reference": 144.901125, "structural_low": 137.514578, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.002955, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.022721, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.113333, "worst_return": -0.064516, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.044725, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.026127, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.243848, "worst_return": -0.065625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.012903, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.120097, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.25977, "worst_return": -0.091706, 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"activity_lines": [ 157.4, 161.234376, 159.08709, 157.27568 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 170.0, "volume": 29315234, "typical_volume": 39287067.05, "trend": 157.008552, "fair_value": 144.901125, "relative_strength": -21.193252, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.003234, "energy": 19.977408, "activity_lines": [ 161.0, 162.476147, 160.483626, 158.175398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }