{ "ticker": { "uuid": "58794ef1-eafe-4af8-bfee-0e2414b44473", "symbol": "002622", "name": "Whole Shine Medical Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.508, "architecture_energy": 35.402, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 64.41, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.33, "rotation_up": 24.69, "upward_expansion": 16.01, "deceleration": 66.77, "rotation_down": 45.04, "downward_expansion": 68.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.218667, 2.201273, 2.331429, 2.445441 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.38, "trend_reference": 2.619, "distance_from_trend": -0.091256, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.709551, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.121626, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.339243, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.227273, "excess_performance": -0.234672, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.091256, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.116893, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.121626, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141515, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.233392, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028047, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.227273, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.337774, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 114999212, "relative_activity": 1.154231, "balance": 0.337774, "dry_up": 1.531259, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101487, "annualized_volatility": 0.40426, "from_high_reference": -0.471111, "from_low_reference": 0.286486 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.619, "fair_value_reference": 2.709551, "structural_low": 1.85, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.021407, "positive_rate": 0.37931, "directional_follow_through": 0.62069, "median_excess_return": -0.024391, "regime_survival": 0.862069, "best_return": 0.227692, "worst_return": -0.207283, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.068452, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.070978, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 1.276596, "worst_return": -0.338028, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.065476, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.035025, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.014184, "worst_return": -0.384279, "sufficient": true }, { 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.150735, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.082508, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.01581, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.062745, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.051852, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", 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"2026-07-31", "close": 2.25, "volume": 167711000, "typical_volume": 98556356.05, "trend": 2.638667, "fair_value": 2.714744, "relative_strength": -24.352741, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.604466, "energy": 50.236546, "activity_lines": [ 2.14, 2.176182, 2.337952, 2.462129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.38, "volume": 114999212, "typical_volume": 99632781.65, "trend": 2.619, "fair_value": 2.709551, "relative_strength": -23.339243, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.50787, "energy": 35.401971, "activity_lines": [ 2.218667, 2.201273, 2.331429, 2.445441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }