{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5879adac-49eb-48ce-ab3b-e13a2a2a840f", "symbol": "300955", "name": "Jahen Household Products Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.549, "architecture_energy": 70.979, "architecture_maturity": 18.051, "architecture_confidence": 83.357, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.2, "rotation_up": 9.12, "upward_expansion": 15.25, "deceleration": 37.54, "rotation_down": 78.18, "downward_expansion": 93.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.774667, 33.846909, 36.890334, 37.225248 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 31.01, "trend_reference": 37.616667, "distance_from_trend": -0.175631, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.929276, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.352419, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.424191, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.182441, "excess_performance": -0.189841, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.175631, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025626, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.352419, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.683142, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.154242, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.332309, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.182441, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.380767, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11084900, "relative_activity": 0.876613, "balance": 0.380767, "dry_up": 0.801731, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.153201, "annualized_volatility": 0.542454, "from_high_reference": -0.398798, "from_low_reference": 0.559859 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.616667, "fair_value_reference": 22.929276, "structural_low": 29.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.008814, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.01442, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.300266, "worst_return": -0.133379, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.022088, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.02233, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.307441, "worst_return": -0.174918, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.059408, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.015182, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.275552, "worst_return": -0.156693, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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35.323334, 37.803273, 38.859096, 38.560688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.68, "volume": 13912209, "typical_volume": 13058418.5, "trend": 38.333667, "fair_value": 22.795485, "relative_strength": -7.023543, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.796434, "energy": 58.048772, "activity_lines": [ 34.123334, 36.474546, 38.311, 38.179463 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.5, "volume": 5079660, "typical_volume": 12497918.2, "trend": 37.966667, "fair_value": 22.86142, "relative_strength": -12.150631, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.059396, "energy": 68.6869, "activity_lines": [ 32.687334, 34.930727, 37.562048, 37.674065 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.01, "volume": 11084900, "typical_volume": 12645153.6, "trend": 37.616667, "fair_value": 22.929276, "relative_strength": -15.424191, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.54866, "energy": 70.978793, "activity_lines": [ 31.774667, 33.846909, 36.890334, 37.225248 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }