{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "58858e7c-f984-4a31-8154-658c552d2428",
    "symbol": "FEUI",
    "name": "Fidelity Europe Quality Income UCITS ETF EUR Inc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.914,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 88.974,
    "architecture_energy": 92.674,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.055,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.62,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.56,
        "rotation_up": 78.21,
        "upward_expansion": 98.94,
        "deceleration": 39.58,
        "rotation_down": 18.07,
        "downward_expansion": 20.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.459,
        7.396582,
        7.258105,
        7.145075
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 7.555,
    "trend_reference": 7.023404,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.075689,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5.923901,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.275342,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.472777,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.09923,
    "excess_performance": -0.071662,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075689,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043896,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.275342,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068703,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034728,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019892,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09923,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.233575,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2459,
      "relative_activity": 0.528329,
      "balance": 1.233575,
      "dry_up": 0.295211,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013463,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.120159,
      "from_high_reference": -0.00448,
      "from_low_reference": 0.254988
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.023404,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.923901,
      "structural_low": 6.352924,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": 0.012793,
        "positive_rate": 0.645161,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.645161,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003879,
        "regime_survival": 0.774194,
        "best_return": 0.082643,
        "worst_return": -0.069608,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.036102,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": -0.022102,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.067555,
        "worst_return": -0.016324,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.067018,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048205,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 0.159203,
        "worst_return": -0.002776,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.138176,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.122853,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": 0.182885,
        "worst_return": 0.078822,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2024-10-18",
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        "return": -0.006215,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "return": 0.004506,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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        "return": 0.008398,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "color": "orange",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "direction": 81.362134,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 5.858623,
        "relative_strength": -4.659574,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.11173,
        "energy": 87.838038,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 925,
        "typical_volume": 4945.6,
        "trend": 6.938437,
        "fair_value": 5.874413,
        "relative_strength": -2.863456,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.327424,
        "energy": 88.341016,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7.132311,
          7.047064
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.406,
        "volume": 1138,
        "typical_volume": 4646.55,
        "trend": 6.967906,
        "fair_value": 5.890512,
        "relative_strength": -1.992796,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.108273,
        "energy": 89.344008,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.370067,
          7.309164,
          7.171092,
          7.077229
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.461,
        "volume": 974,
        "typical_volume": 4692.2,
        "trend": 6.996478,
        "fair_value": 5.90668,
        "relative_strength": -1.907143,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.673482,
        "energy": 88.022052,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.404,
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          7.21198,
          7.109042
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.555,
        "volume": 2459,
        "typical_volume": 4654.3,
        "trend": 7.023404,
        "fair_value": 5.923901,
        "relative_strength": -3.472777,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.974163,
        "energy": 92.6741,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7.145075
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}