{ "ticker": { "uuid": "58866a59-7df6-4201-a060-78f4f5ac30fb", "symbol": "300113", "name": "Hangzhou Shunwang Technology Co,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.502, "architecture_energy": 57.57, "architecture_maturity": 37.819, "architecture_confidence": 95.881, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.52, "rotation_up": 25.39, "upward_expansion": 10.31, "deceleration": 52.85, "rotation_down": 55.05, "downward_expansion": 83.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.645333, 17.873759, 20.226328, 21.91173 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 18.51, "trend_reference": 23.425352, "distance_from_trend": -0.20983, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.366541, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.065843, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.402533, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.288077, "excess_performance": -0.295477, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.20983, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024186, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.065843, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.578085, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.224025, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.233415, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.288077, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.528113, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 183242081, "relative_activity": 1.020076, "balance": 0.528113, "dry_up": 0.855059, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.121968, "annualized_volatility": 0.541107, "from_high_reference": -0.419385, "from_low_reference": 0.175238 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.425352, "fair_value_reference": 17.366541, "structural_low": 15.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.001859, "positive_rate": 0.529412, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": 9.4e-05, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.327684, "worst_return": -0.083645, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.262082, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.135984, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.478673, "worst_return": -0.123895, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.1711, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.080886, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.765799, "worst_return": -0.175465, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.619603, "energy": 85.492847, "activity_lines": [ 17.804, 18.984626, 21.916813, 23.085562 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.97, "volume": 155138256, "typical_volume": 206572123.95, "trend": 23.541019, "fair_value": 17.338527, "relative_strength": -31.214715, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.686914, "energy": 86.801083, "activity_lines": [ 17.058, 18.156864, 21.167096, 22.590055 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.0, "volume": 146731299, "typical_volume": 187298635.5, "trend": 23.483019, "fair_value": 17.348937, "relative_strength": -20.921687, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.647435, "energy": 65.216456, "activity_lines": [ 17.269333, 17.900698, 20.651188, 22.23257 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.51, "volume": 183242081, "typical_volume": 179635779.0, "trend": 23.425352, "fair_value": 17.366541, "relative_strength": -22.402533, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.501973, "energy": 57.570449, "activity_lines": [ 17.645333, 17.873759, 20.226328, 21.91173 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }