{ "ticker": { "uuid": "58a7dc34-e0fb-4e10-9398-6b988e79d9b5", "symbol": "8927", "name": "North-Star International Co., LTD.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 93.171, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.141, "architecture_energy": 27.836, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.488, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.32, "rotation_up": 19.3, "upward_expansion": 11.6, "deceleration": 51.26, "rotation_down": 47.59, "downward_expansion": 68.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.894467, 20.18644, 20.14751, 20.723589 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 19.950001, "trend_reference": 21.674824, "distance_from_trend": -0.079577, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 37.095327, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.462196, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -45.485495, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.159978, "excess_performance": -0.60135, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.079577, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061254, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.462196, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055462, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.454855, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.153231, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.159978, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.267925, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 765310, "relative_activity": 0.287442, "balance": 1.267925, "dry_up": 0.432393, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084639, "annualized_volatility": 0.383, "from_high_reference": -0.531918, "from_low_reference": 0.130979 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.674824, "fair_value_reference": 37.095327, "structural_low": 17.63958, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.008377, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": 0.007598, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.148387, "worst_return": -0.188362, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.023581, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.123279, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.207692, "worst_return": -0.311842, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.068466, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.03719, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.280769, "worst_return": -0.367105, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -48.151723, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.134623, "energy": 18.050725, "activity_lines": [ 20.438262, 20.352259, 20.425592, 21.127124 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.822123, "volume": 1684201, "typical_volume": 2828461.85, "trend": 21.914797, "fair_value": 37.254652, "relative_strength": -48.42768, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.046718, "energy": 33.962092, "activity_lines": [ 19.843707, 20.125605, 20.216535, 20.918802 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.743752, "volume": 1347580, "typical_volume": 2760444.4, "trend": 21.804755, "fair_value": 37.178167, "relative_strength": -42.948998, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.262212, "energy": 29.170112, "activity_lines": [ 19.978385, 20.249235, 20.21372, 20.843251 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 19.950001, "volume": 765310, "typical_volume": 2662486.8, "trend": 21.674824, "fair_value": 37.095327, "relative_strength": -45.485495, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.141319, "energy": 27.835832, "activity_lines": [ 19.894467, 20.18644, 20.14751, 20.723589 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }