{ "ticker": { "uuid": "58ab0542-a55f-4b59-82d4-5249d3095c4b", "symbol": "7734", "name": "APT", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.754, "architecture_energy": 24.513, "architecture_maturity": 34.676, "architecture_confidence": 74.909, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.95, "rotation_up": 46.9, "upward_expansion": 66.92, "deceleration": 55.44, "rotation_down": 16.64, "downward_expansion": 7.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 3255.333333, 3189.753857, 3217.464867, 3013.286321 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 3090.0, "trend_reference": 2610.945852, "distance_from_trend": 0.183479, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1447.854193, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.134193, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 27.231515, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.294722, "excess_performance": 0.85335, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.183479, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.40397, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.134193, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.860007, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.272315, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.719102, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.294722, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.007438, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1074691, "relative_activity": 0.704765, "balance": 1.007438, "dry_up": 0.848623, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.222884, "annualized_volatility": 1.022365, "from_high_reference": -0.329159, "from_low_reference": 2.935885 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2610.945852, "fair_value_reference": 1447.854193, "structural_low": 1371.412535, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.061236, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.0572, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.084211, "worst_return": -0.206682, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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20.666081, "energy": 13.078853, "activity_lines": [ 2983.003727, 3081.490461, 3090.832703, 2779.364477 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3460.0, "volume": 1862516, "typical_volume": 1686324.75, "trend": 2377.256348, "fair_value": 1402.84241, "relative_strength": 54.523949, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.457361, "energy": 17.028872, "activity_lines": [ 3104.756689, 3128.488144, 3147.798449, 2854.768384 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3370.0, "volume": 1117965, "typical_volume": 1644821.0, "trend": 2460.637638, "fair_value": 1418.835562, "relative_strength": 50.433794, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.977944, "energy": 20.686762, "activity_lines": [ 3205.343294, 3163.970637, 3187.690455, 2918.816362 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3375.0, "volume": 1121059, "typical_volume": 1577403.85, "trend": 2540.077983, "fair_value": 1434.611081, "relative_strength": 45.113122, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.710412, "energy": 24.562814, "activity_lines": [ 3284.666667, 3200.251962, 3219.795621, 2977.807482 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 3090.0, "volume": 1074691, "typical_volume": 1524891.65, "trend": 2610.945852, "fair_value": 1447.854193, "relative_strength": 27.231515, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.753633, "energy": 24.51283, "activity_lines": [ 3255.333333, 3189.753857, 3217.464867, 3013.286321 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }