{ "ticker": { "uuid": "58ce613f-f71d-4e57-b344-9289d13887de", "symbol": "BTGD", "name": "STKD 100% BITCOIN & 100% GOLD ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.268, "architecture_energy": 45.599, "architecture_maturity": 75.194, "architecture_confidence": 60.511, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.46, "rotation_up": 26.58, "upward_expansion": 19.23, "deceleration": 66.37, "rotation_down": 41.63, "downward_expansion": 66.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.479067, 21.288382, 23.602111, 25.284366 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 22.6672, "trend_reference": 27.918877, "distance_from_trend": -0.188105, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.989539, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.268553, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.228477, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.260691, "excess_performance": -0.448145, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.188105, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.143598, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.268553, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.268196, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.392285, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.147817, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.260691, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.784844, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 128003, "relative_activity": 0.498367, "balance": 0.784844, "dry_up": 0.376587, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110203, "annualized_volatility": 0.515696, "from_high_reference": -0.520664, "from_low_reference": 0.185653 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.918877, "fair_value_reference": 30.989539, 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4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.959585, "energy": 60.026293, "activity_lines": [ 20.98704, 21.539745, 24.438151, 26.189849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.57, "volume": 114734, "typical_volume": 279659.5, "trend": 28.390757, "fair_value": 31.078075, "relative_strength": -42.795682, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.327449, "energy": 57.855357, "activity_lines": [ 20.905853, 21.146955, 23.895169, 25.653628 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.6672, "volume": 128003, "typical_volume": 256844.7, "trend": 27.918877, "fair_value": 30.989539, "relative_strength": -39.228477, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.267904, "energy": 45.599437, "activity_lines": [ 21.479067, 21.288382, 23.602111, 25.284366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }