{ "ticker": { "uuid": "58ede210-22bf-4b2c-8795-52d1c2776d5b", "symbol": "V3PM", "name": "Vanguard ESG Developed Asia Pacific All Cap UCITS ETF USD Income", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 20.846, "architecture_energy": 24.136, "architecture_maturity": 65.67, "architecture_confidence": 92.097, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.7, "rotation_up": 17.12, "upward_expansion": 52.11, "deceleration": 93.99, "rotation_down": 42.54, "downward_expansion": 22.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.3045, 7.463118, 7.431427, 7.251432 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.416, "trend_reference": 7.007008, "distance_from_trend": 0.058369, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.365492, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.382166, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.091245, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.148305, "excess_performance": 0.097069, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.058369, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086229, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.382166, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043417, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.060912, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.114172, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.148305, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.699176, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 179139, "relative_activity": 1.82928, "balance": 1.699176, "dry_up": 1.529164, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050136, "annualized_volatility": 0.264152, "from_high_reference": -0.09572, "from_low_reference": 0.380982 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.007008, "fair_value_reference": 5.365492, "structural_low": 6.1356, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"activity_lines": [ 7.833554, 7.635946, 7.265476, 7.035188 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 7.7695, "volume": 42749, "typical_volume": 93820.45, "trend": 6.774762, "fair_value": 5.273645, "relative_strength": 15.290749, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.791732, "energy": 75.106239, "activity_lines": [ 7.835599, 7.696795, 7.33627, 7.103495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 7.638, "volume": 69496, "typical_volume": 93250.55, "trend": 6.834949, "fair_value": 5.294245, "relative_strength": 14.756646, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.298405, "energy": 60.147192, "activity_lines": [ 7.788417, 7.714769, 7.389702, 7.159187 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.162, "volume": 128938, "typical_volume": 93253.25, "trend": 6.878598, "fair_value": 5.31146, "relative_strength": 6.223792, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.668298, "energy": 34.670847, "activity_lines": [ 7.570533, 7.631367, 7.394108, 7.180287 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.3065, "volume": 140823, "typical_volume": 92342.2, "trend": 6.926532, "fair_value": 5.328995, "relative_strength": 6.664823, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.663707, "energy": 25.102456, "activity_lines": [ 7.434033, 7.576484, 7.411813, 7.207894 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.1515, "volume": 150096, "typical_volume": 93551.45, "trend": 6.966126, "fair_value": 5.346263, "relative_strength": 2.885382, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.883642, "energy": 23.889794, "activity_lines": [ 7.301, 7.493742, 7.410841, 7.222408 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.416, "volume": 179139, "typical_volume": 97928.7, "trend": 7.007008, "fair_value": 5.365492, "relative_strength": 6.091245, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.846286, "energy": 24.135545, "activity_lines": [ 7.3045, 7.463118, 7.431427, 7.251432 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }