{ "ticker": { "uuid": "58ef4e19-241a-475b-adfe-5aa6b0cf65fe", "symbol": "4763", "name": "Jinan Acetate Chemical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 38.41, "architecture_energy": 43.585, "architecture_maturity": 15.348, "architecture_confidence": 50.58, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.89, "rotation_up": 60.31, "upward_expansion": 54.48, "deceleration": 28.61, "rotation_down": 20.22, "downward_expansion": 15.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.866667, 48.759091, 46.635953, 46.031506 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 51.5, "trend_reference": 46.111667, "distance_from_trend": 0.116854, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 69.007161, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.253701, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.739505, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.009615, "excess_performance": -0.450987, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.116854, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04705, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.253701, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.141727, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.317395, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.244958, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.009615, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.215489, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 57424951, "relative_activity": 1.449854, "balance": 2.215489, "dry_up": 1.346741, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093876, "annualized_volatility": 0.444015, "from_high_reference": -0.30593, "from_low_reference": 0.281094 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.111667, "fair_value_reference": 69.007161, "structural_low": 40.200001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.074207, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.04946, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.029787, "worst_return": -0.118628, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.008447, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006353, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.206109, "worst_return": -0.189216, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.27201, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.237326, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.641079, "worst_return": -0.097059, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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45.081613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.400002, "volume": 65686916, "typical_volume": 36588554.95, "trend": 46.41, "fair_value": 69.237705, "relative_strength": -34.799841, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.338751, "energy": 44.304839, "activity_lines": [ 48.153333, 46.7, 45.152619, 45.327419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.25, "volume": 45623127, "typical_volume": 37452552.2, "trend": 46.185, "fair_value": 69.171552, "relative_strength": -35.153119, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.319608, "energy": 31.188245, "activity_lines": [ 48.36, 47.199091, 45.511191, 45.446129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.900002, "volume": 44628545, "typical_volume": 37616598.3, "trend": 46.141667, "fair_value": 69.059687, "relative_strength": -32.949756, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.959265, "energy": 31.731201, "activity_lines": [ 48.800001, 47.915455, 46.007143, 45.685807 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 51.5, "volume": 57424951, "typical_volume": 39607389.65, "trend": 46.111667, "fair_value": 69.007161, "relative_strength": -31.739505, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.409817, "energy": 43.584741, "activity_lines": [ 49.866667, 48.759091, 46.635953, 46.031506 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }