{ "ticker": { "uuid": "58ef876d-0dd7-45b0-a982-533f30eb74f6", "symbol": "C1U", "name": "Amundi MSCI UK IMI SRI Climate Paris Aligned - UCITS ETF DR - EUR (C)", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 91.856, "architecture_energy": 95.443, "architecture_maturity": 21.471, "architecture_confidence": 74.779, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.98, "rotation_up": 85.22, "upward_expansion": 97.5, "deceleration": 41.88, "rotation_down": 9.06, "downward_expansion": 21.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 1087.266658, 1070.15999, 1044.595226, 1030.694399 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1115.400024, "trend_reference": 1020.133329, "distance_from_trend": 0.093387, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 871.246231, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.280235, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.063199, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.091603, "excess_performance": 0.038292, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.093387, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026928, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.280235, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098395, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.050632, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026254, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.091603, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.898844, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 113, "relative_activity": 0.486754, "balance": 1.898844, "dry_up": 0.479216, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01911, "annualized_volatility": 0.182239, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.233168 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1020.133329, "fair_value_reference": 871.246231, "structural_low": 929.700012, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.005306, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.00564, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.086418, "worst_return": -0.086996, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.006165, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.017845, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.09419, "worst_return": -0.074297, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.033858, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.039397, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.156663, "worst_return": -0.122147, "sufficient": true }, { 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1024.358053 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1115.400024, "volume": 113, "typical_volume": 232.15, "trend": 1020.133329, "fair_value": 871.246231, "relative_strength": 5.063199, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.856145, "energy": 95.442603, "activity_lines": [ 1087.266658, 1070.15999, 1044.595226, 1030.694399 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }