{ "ticker": { "uuid": "58f11125-fe7a-484a-a763-fdfd362eccf1", "symbol": "300342", "name": "Changshu Tianyin Electromechanical Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 84.551, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.366, "architecture_energy": 81.405, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.686, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.04, "rotation_up": 8.62, "upward_expansion": 19.73, "deceleration": 37.03, "rotation_down": 75.62, "downward_expansion": 93.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.179999, 38.562, 45.774436, 47.943936 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 36.599998, "trend_reference": 49.688313, "distance_from_trend": -0.263408, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.46267, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.62937, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.697944, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.265398, "excess_performance": -0.272798, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.263408, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.142515, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.62937, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.862129, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.026979, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.951589, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.265398, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.344155, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 91896269, "relative_activity": 0.512799, "balance": 0.344155, "dry_up": 0.595388, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.208376, "annualized_volatility": 0.85453, "from_high_reference": -0.515065, "from_low_reference": 1.194999 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.688313, "fair_value_reference": 22.46267, "structural_low": 28.42, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.026347, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.021955, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.404132, "worst_return": -0.192615, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.093697, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.048289, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.517355, "worst_return": -0.272491, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.132026, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.018464, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.590083, "worst_return": -0.097552, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 189108519.5, "trend": 49.668214, "fair_value": 22.194749, "relative_strength": -12.315925, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -54.422178, "energy": 68.418845, "activity_lines": [ 38.112, 42.570546, 49.139872, 49.997515 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.809999, "volume": 73895189, "typical_volume": 187106415.1, "trend": 49.572267, "fair_value": 22.305304, "relative_strength": -13.083181, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.563408, "energy": 83.976974, "activity_lines": [ 34.727333, 39.788364, 47.158473, 48.780856 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.599998, "volume": 91896269, "typical_volume": 179205273.95, "trend": 49.688313, "fair_value": 22.46267, "relative_strength": -2.697944, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.365779, "energy": 81.405471, "activity_lines": [ 34.179999, 38.562, 45.774436, 47.943936 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }