{ "ticker": { "uuid": "58f7d409-c086-4eea-980c-ec041c3a019d", "symbol": "KIM", "name": "Kimco Realty Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.161, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.547, "architecture_energy": 36.145, "architecture_maturity": 63.729, "architecture_confidence": 52.604, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.44, "rotation_up": 45.17, "upward_expansion": 70.02, "deceleration": 64.56, "rotation_down": 23.2, "downward_expansion": 11.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.309333, 25.348909, 24.793684, 24.248167 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 24.46, "trend_reference": 23.434781, "distance_from_trend": 0.043748, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.110867, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.216258, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.478118, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.145148, "excess_performance": 0.019523, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043748, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085002, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.216258, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021714, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.014781, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002385, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.145148, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.693085, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28348618, "relative_activity": 1.224604, "balance": 0.693085, "dry_up": 0.998106, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048943, "annualized_volatility": 0.228015, "from_high_reference": -0.082004, "from_low_reference": 0.274998 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.434781, "fair_value_reference": 20.110867, "structural_low": 21.183565, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.002647, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": -0.011118, "regime_survival": 0.68, "best_return": 0.077282, "worst_return": -0.083, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.031221, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.08891, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.122694, "worst_return": -0.158116, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.008841, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.05324, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.107071, "worst_return": -0.086261, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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23244512.4, "trend": 23.090051, "fair_value": 20.015125, "relative_strength": 10.141283, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.564204, "energy": 56.733368, "activity_lines": [ 25.743333, 25.407868, 24.613139, 24.018178 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.48, "volume": 26961993, "typical_volume": 23324279.05, "trend": 23.285124, "fair_value": 20.067294, "relative_strength": 6.239113, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.893472, "energy": 48.933357, "activity_lines": [ 25.682667, 25.485897, 24.758681, 24.172369 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.46, "volume": 28348618, "typical_volume": 23149210.8, "trend": 23.434781, "fair_value": 20.110867, "relative_strength": -1.478118, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.546602, "energy": 36.14499, "activity_lines": [ 25.309333, 25.348909, 24.793684, 24.248167 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }