{ "ticker": { "uuid": "58f95625-596f-4140-8b9f-9752a70755c9", "symbol": "V3EL", "name": "Vanguard ESG Developed Europe All Cap UCITS ETF EUR Income", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 81.859, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 89.461, "architecture_energy": 87.541, "architecture_maturity": 33.55, "architecture_confidence": 73.967, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.58, "rotation_up": 75.69, "upward_expansion": 94.46, "deceleration": 44.39, "rotation_down": 17.24, "downward_expansion": 18.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.0394, 6.98422, 6.86162, 6.769738 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 7.157, "trend_reference": 6.692678, "distance_from_trend": 0.069378, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.801317, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.233685, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.399948, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.069283, "excess_performance": -0.101609, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069378, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030194, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.233685, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06068, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.053999, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020842, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.069283, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.572869, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4094, "relative_activity": 1.228304, "balance": 5.572869, "dry_up": 1.312837, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014512, "annualized_volatility": 0.145745, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.200414 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.692678, "fair_value_reference": 5.801317, "structural_low": 6.109, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"typical_volume": 2889.8, "trend": 6.639659, "fair_value": 5.758145, "relative_strength": -5.229968, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.776883, "energy": 86.044925, "activity_lines": [ 6.945133, 6.8778, 6.748555, 6.693859 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.969, "volume": 101, "typical_volume": 2819.9, "trend": 6.657157, "fair_value": 5.771766, "relative_strength": -4.745504, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.136853, "energy": 84.88926, "activity_lines": [ 6.9562, 6.904506, 6.780452, 6.715107 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.023, "volume": 8262, "typical_volume": 3207.1, "trend": 6.676057, "fair_value": 5.786112, "relative_strength": -4.538211, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.541001, "energy": 66.515958, "activity_lines": [ 6.979467, 6.933981, 6.816145, 6.73871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.157, "volume": 4094, "typical_volume": 3333.05, "trend": 6.692678, "fair_value": 5.801317, "relative_strength": -5.399948, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.461479, "energy": 87.540714, "activity_lines": [ 7.0394, 6.98422, 6.86162, 6.769738 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }