{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "58f99e1d-f397-4615-a100-21c51d3f5c5c",
    "symbol": "PDF",
    "name": "Purpose Core Dividend Fund Series ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.169,
    "architecture_energy": 67.891,
    "architecture_maturity": 65.147,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.785,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.28,
        "rotation_up": 63.2,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 64.46,
        "rotation_down": 25.71,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        45.161181,
        44.838443,
        43.854904,
        42.951909
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 45.139999,
    "trend_reference": 41.803971,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.079802,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.065827,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.365156,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.707707,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.131851,
    "excess_performance": 0.01143,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079802,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058887,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.365156,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053616,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017077,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018052,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.131851,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.740171,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 19700,
      "relative_activity": 1.087196,
      "balance": 2.740171,
      "dry_up": 1.226545,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013976,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.091792,
      "from_high_reference": -0.011712,
      "from_low_reference": 0.334908
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 41.803971,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.065827,
      "structural_low": 38.802017,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": 0.016636,
        "positive_rate": 0.738095,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.738095,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000801,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.054765,
        "worst_return": -0.063568,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.029391,
        "positive_rate": 0.866667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.866667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003042,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.100552,
        "worst_return": -0.030873,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.058656,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004442,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.178385,
        "worst_return": -0.048826,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.077694,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033022,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.238885,
        "worst_return": 0.013923,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2023-09-29",
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        "return": -0.054962,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.055752,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-01-05",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 21865.0,
        "trend": 38.540058,
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        "relative_strength": -1.495475,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": -0.097482,
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 21360.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 20645.0,
        "trend": 39.479156,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 3.000417,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 17755.0,
        "trend": 39.921691,
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        "relative_strength": 2.939318,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 86.672559,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 40.364039,
        "fair_value": 32.363635,
        "relative_strength": 3.638711,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.674299,
        "energy": 93.788706,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 2600,
        "typical_volume": 15675.0,
        "trend": 40.596602,
        "fair_value": 32.479946,
        "relative_strength": 3.782817,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.891273,
        "energy": 94.569779,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 44.836857,
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        "typical_volume": 16820.0,
        "trend": 40.83653,
        "fair_value": 32.597053,
        "relative_strength": 4.348341,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.021523,
        "energy": 94.527192,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.389256,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 45.166103,
        "volume": 25600,
        "typical_volume": 17260.0,
        "trend": 41.08612,
        "fair_value": 32.712614,
        "relative_strength": 5.160718,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.268219,
        "energy": 89.721203,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.712933,
          44.171509,
          43.018075,
          42.205578
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 45.116219,
        "volume": 18900,
        "typical_volume": 17225.0,
        "trend": 41.326827,
        "fair_value": 32.829087,
        "relative_strength": 4.671498,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.86197,
        "energy": 74.985317,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.924658,
          44.435559,
          43.315149,
          42.465584
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 45.299999,
        "volume": 24700,
        "typical_volume": 17975.0,
        "trend": 41.575141,
        "fair_value": 32.948801,
        "relative_strength": 5.4509,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.030662,
        "energy": 71.377289,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.109634,
          44.672703,
          43.605896,
          42.721918
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 45.139999,
        "volume": 19700,
        "typical_volume": 18120.0,
        "trend": 41.803971,
        "fair_value": 33.065827,
        "relative_strength": 1.707707,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.169017,
        "energy": 67.890764,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.161181,
          44.838443,
          43.854904,
          42.951909
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}