{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5907adf4-e5e3-4719-bcb2-e04974382c47", "symbol": "SOL", "name": "WHSP Holdings Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.876, "architecture_energy": 59.667, "architecture_maturity": 46.405, "architecture_confidence": 80.211, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.14, "rotation_up": 67.6, "upward_expansion": 84.46, "deceleration": 56.47, "rotation_down": 18.78, "downward_expansion": 8.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.090001, 45.595092, 44.602457, 43.401795 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 46.740002, "trend_reference": 41.697918, "distance_from_trend": 0.120919, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.445245, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.318654, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.334659, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.277069, "excess_performance": 0.213363, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.120919, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075087, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.318654, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046333, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.103347, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014819, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.277069, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.836301, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2264108, "relative_activity": 0.976061, "balance": 0.836301, "dry_up": 1.03843, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035672, "annualized_volatility": 0.146114, "from_high_reference": -0.007854, "from_low_reference": 0.358951 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.697918, "fair_value_reference": 35.445245, "structural_low": 36.342328, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.003922, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": -0.009579, "regime_survival": 0.735294, "best_return": 0.125039, "worst_return": -0.146387, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.035115, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.011672, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.109144, "worst_return": -0.153066, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.013168, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.099936, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.154111, "worst_return": -0.092823, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-31", "close": 46.23, "volume": 2374275, "typical_volume": 2557573.2, "trend": 41.389896, "fair_value": 35.337437, "relative_strength": 12.802121, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.487696, "energy": 56.125418, "activity_lines": [ 45.668001, 45.237455, 44.270747, 43.056627 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.740002, "volume": 2264108, "typical_volume": 2319637.15, "trend": 41.697918, "fair_value": 35.445245, "relative_strength": 10.334659, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.876222, "energy": 59.667089, "activity_lines": [ 46.090001, 45.595092, 44.602457, 43.401795 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }