{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5909d527-a86d-47d2-a532-c0b8905d88ec",
    "symbol": "HBNC",
    "name": "Horizon Bancorp",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.99,
    "architecture_energy": 54.543,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.565,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.848,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.28,
        "rotation_up": 63.58,
        "upward_expansion": 83.79,
        "deceleration": 54.48,
        "rotation_down": 19.88,
        "downward_expansion": 8.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.284,
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        18.799633
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 20.42,
    "trend_reference": 18.187285,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.122762,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 14.463608,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.411819,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.423519,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.109523,
    "excess_performance": -0.07793,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.122762,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059159,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.411819,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06627,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034235,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089884,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109523,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.236599,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2574731,
      "relative_activity": 1.045487,
      "balance": 1.236599,
      "dry_up": 1.358265,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.04883,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.226687,
      "from_high_reference": -0.029468,
      "from_low_reference": 0.417194
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 18.187285,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.463608,
      "structural_low": 15.28409,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.014163,
        "positive_rate": 0.608696,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.608696,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019645,
        "regime_survival": 0.73913,
        "best_return": 0.161879,
        "worst_return": -0.123251,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.143644,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.108548,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 20.45,
        "volume": 3523876,
        "typical_volume": 2442094.4,
        "trend": 18.068917,
        "fair_value": 14.402491,
        "relative_strength": 9.036354,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.676721,
        "energy": 53.633887,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.42,
        "volume": 2574731,
        "typical_volume": 2462709.25,
        "trend": 18.187285,
        "fair_value": 14.463608,
        "relative_strength": 3.423519,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}