{ "ticker": { "uuid": "590afcf0-2f74-45fa-b252-c837a5dcb265", "symbol": "BAMA", "name": "Brookstone Active ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 60.522, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.084, "architecture_energy": 40.587, "architecture_maturity": 41.448, "architecture_confidence": 80.272, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.88, "rotation_up": 40.07, "upward_expansion": 64.95, "deceleration": 92.7, "rotation_down": 27.84, "downward_expansion": 14.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.451673, 36.387527, 36.219489, 35.740802 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 37.1507, "trend_reference": 35.198217, "distance_from_trend": 0.055471, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.584842, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.214677, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.662624, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.079293, "excess_performance": -0.046332, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.055471, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025611, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.214677, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005214, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.036626, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012982, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.079293, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.262511, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13588, "relative_activity": 0.609047, "balance": 1.262511, "dry_up": 0.704037, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019748, "annualized_volatility": 0.120324, "from_high_reference": -0.001325, "from_low_reference": 0.160495 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.198217, "fair_value_reference": 30.584842, "structural_low": 32.243788, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.105413, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.013566, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.028723, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.035184, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.058173, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -8.8e-05, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.015304, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.037439, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 24.173511, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 24.185853, "volume": 8, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, 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"close": 35.81, "volume": 20696, "typical_volume": 24189.85, "trend": 35.029986, "fair_value": 30.502527, "relative_strength": -3.043014, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.597162, "energy": 29.019731, "activity_lines": [ 36.136873, 36.255968, 35.988021, 35.533191 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.2015, "volume": 11689, "typical_volume": 22975.45, "trend": 35.104241, "fair_value": 30.540776, "relative_strength": -2.935939, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.192168, "energy": 25.238937, "activity_lines": [ 36.13946, 36.234698, 36.06541, 35.608773 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.1507, "volume": 13588, "typical_volume": 22310.25, "trend": 35.198217, "fair_value": 30.584842, "relative_strength": -3.662624, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.084183, "energy": 40.586544, "activity_lines": [ 36.451673, 36.387527, 36.219489, 35.740802 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }