{ "ticker": { "uuid": "59288fa6-02b6-4748-9316-e3ca14e2e5b4", "symbol": "NEE", "name": "Nextera Energy Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.786, "architecture_energy": 39.373, "architecture_maturity": 14.213, "architecture_confidence": 93.972, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.37, "rotation_up": 22.42, "upward_expansion": 8.99, "deceleration": 41.06, "rotation_down": 44.79, "downward_expansion": 75.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 87.055333, 87.461636, 88.387951, 89.123084 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 84.65, "trend_reference": 89.355984, "distance_from_trend": -0.052666, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 71.860466, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.177977, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.747999, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.04067, "excess_performance": -0.166295, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.052666, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024029, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.177977, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.139916, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.10748, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.134304, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.04067, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.650052, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 63047346, "relative_activity": 1.206498, "balance": 0.650052, "dry_up": 1.018969, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040834, "annualized_volatility": 0.177886, "from_high_reference": -0.136561, "from_low_reference": 0.248031 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 89.355984, "fair_value_reference": 71.860466, "structural_low": 82.967653, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.004949, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.040433, "regime_survival": 0.388889, "best_return": 0.163456, "worst_return": -0.171392, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.038193, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.010164, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.115307, "worst_return": -0.081121, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.093874, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.032202, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.22125, "worst_return": 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"modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.549573, "energy": 7.471425, "activity_lines": [ 88.315333, 87.777258, 89.206679, 89.465613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 89.78, "volume": 45759199, "typical_volume": 50989885.2, "trend": 88.923876, "fair_value": 71.570824, "relative_strength": -0.89656, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 0.00277, "energy": 6.49713, "activity_lines": [ 88.881333, 88.115045, 89.177327, 89.543377 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 86.92, "volume": 58720157, "typical_volume": 51774905.45, "trend": 89.160669, "fair_value": 71.722187, "relative_strength": -5.169461, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.516215, "energy": 8.222963, "activity_lines": [ 88.292, 87.985688, 88.878374, 89.414095 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 84.65, "volume": 63047346, "typical_volume": 52256493.5, "trend": 89.355984, "fair_value": 71.860466, "relative_strength": -10.747999, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.785983, "energy": 39.373225, "activity_lines": [ 87.055333, 87.461636, 88.387951, 89.123084 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }