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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 78.889, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.841, "architecture_energy": 45.287, "architecture_maturity": 14.849, "architecture_confidence": 62.161, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.26, "rotation_up": 53.7, "upward_expansion": 76.63, "deceleration": 61.86, "rotation_down": 20.71, "downward_expansion": 5.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 70.66, 70.124364, 68.542576, 66.422858 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 66.82, "trend_reference": 63.42446, "distance_from_trend": 0.053537, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 52.996306, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.260843, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.226691, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.207574, "excess_performance": 0.033327, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.053537, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.11751, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.260843, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017384, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.052267, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12975, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.207574, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.69056, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 894, "relative_activity": 2.523641, "balance": 0.69056, "dry_up": 1.559633, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061446, "annualized_volatility": 0.37868, "from_high_reference": -0.145524, "from_low_reference": 0.444736 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 63.42446, "fair_value_reference": 52.996306, "structural_low": 54.576641, "invalidation": 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65.693278 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 69.68, "volume": 616, "typical_volume": 350.25, "trend": 62.936667, "fair_value": 53.014596, "relative_strength": 1.781006, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.337545, "energy": 65.474929, "activity_lines": [ 72.206667, 70.692727, 68.470311, 66.172321 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 66.82, "volume": 894, "typical_volume": 354.25, "trend": 63.42446, "fair_value": 52.996306, "relative_strength": -5.226691, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.841251, "energy": 45.286984, "activity_lines": [ 70.66, 70.124364, 68.542576, 66.422858 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }