{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "59384361-9607-4b65-bd84-559f64d68a67",
    "symbol": "600121",
    "name": "Zhengzhou Coal Industry & Electric Power Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -52.375,
    "architecture_energy": 32.769,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.011,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.833,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.74,
        "rotation_up": 22.88,
        "upward_expansion": 8.26,
        "deceleration": 59.85,
        "rotation_down": 44.23,
        "downward_expansion": 70.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.758667,
        3.771091,
        3.965143,
        4.130667
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 4.0,
    "trend_reference": 4.307333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.071351,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 4.052949,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.013064,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -7.858213,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.118943,
    "excess_performance": -0.075739,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.071351,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053749,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013064,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032927,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.078582,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043521,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.118943,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.206094,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 434665997,
      "relative_activity": 1.469088,
      "balance": 1.206094,
      "dry_up": 1.230115,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.135,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.635307,
      "from_high_reference": -0.342105,
      "from_low_reference": 0.197605
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.307333,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.052949,
      "structural_low": 3.34,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 36,
        "median_return": -0.008983,
        "positive_rate": 0.416667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006747,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.304054,
        "worst_return": -0.156909,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.307692,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.018544,
        "regime_survival": 0.692308,
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        "worst_return": -0.143258,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.275194,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.058824,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 4.061923,
        "relative_strength": -14.0174,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.77,
        "volume": 258204895,
        "typical_volume": 321068079.7,
        "trend": 4.313,
        "fair_value": 4.05641,
        "relative_strength": -10.930595,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.213067,
        "energy": 52.360922,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.627333,
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          3.980857,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.0,
        "volume": 434665997,
        "typical_volume": 295874622.65,
        "trend": 4.307333,
        "fair_value": 4.052949,
        "relative_strength": -7.858213,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.374832,
        "energy": 32.769007,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.758667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}