{ "ticker": { "uuid": "593fc7f8-9c42-4d93-a574-c5004740d1f5", "symbol": "PSMO", "name": "PACER SWAN SOS MODERATE (OCTOBER) ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 48.386, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.879, "architecture_energy": 84.432, "architecture_maturity": 36.956, "architecture_confidence": 76.81, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.76, "rotation_up": 72.44, "upward_expansion": 96.37, "deceleration": 42.02, "rotation_down": 21.48, "downward_expansion": 18.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.83026, 32.651044, 32.394595, 32.020417 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 33.115, "trend_reference": 31.59079, "distance_from_trend": 0.048249, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.03216, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.181322, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.858092, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.07203, "excess_performance": -0.053595, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048249, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021149, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.181322, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004144, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.048581, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003476, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.07203, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.858196, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1617, "relative_activity": 0.50247, "balance": 0.858196, "dry_up": 1.196824, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010386, "annualized_volatility": 0.072925, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.124475 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.59079, "fair_value_reference": 28.03216, "structural_low": 29.68, "invalidation": "A 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"fair_value": 27.910116, "relative_strength": -2.397791, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.600495, "energy": 79.848247, "activity_lines": [ 32.563567, 32.454629, 32.173841, 31.830498 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.8036, "volume": 7658, "typical_volume": 3197.4, "trend": 31.521253, "fair_value": 27.970297, "relative_strength": -2.608567, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.418466, "energy": 83.855715, "activity_lines": [ 32.675467, 32.529245, 32.27521, 31.917595 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.115, "volume": 1617, "typical_volume": 3218.1, "trend": 31.59079, "fair_value": 28.03216, "relative_strength": -4.858092, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.878844, "energy": 84.431908, "activity_lines": [ 32.83026, 32.651044, 32.394595, 32.020417 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }