{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "594238b9-f68b-43af-9b22-2294e2c72261",
    "symbol": "605117",
    "name": "Ningbo Deye Technology Group Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 65.998,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -23.025,
    "architecture_energy": 47.31,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.968,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.859,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.48,
        "rotation_up": 15.07,
        "upward_expansion": 24.29,
        "deceleration": 51.71,
        "rotation_down": 61.7,
        "downward_expansion": 49.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        84.065999,
        88.134363,
        95.415148,
        94.493415
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 84.82,
    "trend_reference": 89.246067,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.049594,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 48.49409,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.749079,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 16.024953,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.435623,
    "excess_performance": 0.478827,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.049594,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.142009,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.749079,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.657637,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.16025,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.504288,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.435623,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.463845,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 68963806,
      "relative_activity": 0.856467,
      "balance": 0.463845,
      "dry_up": 0.947199,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.129493,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.547836,
      "from_high_reference": -0.3316,
      "from_low_reference": 1.391055
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 89.246067,
      "fair_value_reference": 48.49409,
      "structural_low": 58.48429,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.041491,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.079634,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.011081,
        "worst_return": -0.071902,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.249547,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.326714,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.249547,
        "worst_return": -0.249547,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.146992,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.181742,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.146992,
        "worst_return": -0.146992,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.5072,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.440102,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.5072,
        "worst_return": -0.5072,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.025744,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.089091,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.091488,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.337359,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.129401,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.002428,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.158141,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.124544,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.12761,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-01-30",
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        "return": 0.051332,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.086482,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.403556,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": -0.083325,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.036793,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-07-28",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 47.570895,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 89401764.55,
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        "fair_value": 47.767094,
        "relative_strength": 19.085317,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 88.449997,
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        "typical_volume": 88038052.6,
        "trend": 87.789106,
        "fair_value": 48.006199,
        "relative_strength": 27.950283,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -20.131815,
        "energy": 35.858664,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 81.809998,
        "volume": 64178168,
        "typical_volume": 83632873.15,
        "trend": 88.440448,
        "fair_value": 48.226417,
        "relative_strength": 16.430857,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.777902,
        "energy": 51.863313,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.515999,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 84.82,
        "volume": 68963806,
        "typical_volume": 80521222.15,
        "trend": 89.246067,
        "fair_value": 48.49409,
        "relative_strength": 16.024953,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.024609,
        "energy": 47.309977,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}