{ "ticker": { "uuid": "594a4037-2aa1-4e73-82e3-1eb10ad26bb2", "symbol": "300540", "name": "Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 41.927, "architecture_energy": 22.565, "architecture_maturity": 76.903, "architecture_confidence": 89.898, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.26, "rotation_up": 31.72, "upward_expansion": 58.89, "deceleration": 85.46, "rotation_down": 31.46, "downward_expansion": 20.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.956667, 32.837818, 31.084527, 29.148348 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 35.110001, "trend_reference": 26.860861, "distance_from_trend": 0.307106, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.572266, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.890453, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 46.574848, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.566956, "excess_performance": 0.559556, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.307106, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.19148, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.890453, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069522, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.465748, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.142962, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.566956, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.53022, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 98867165, "relative_activity": 1.380133, "balance": 0.53022, "dry_up": 1.319172, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.198059, "annualized_volatility": 1.03121, "from_high_reference": -0.314526, "from_low_reference": 1.088034 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.860861, "fair_value_reference": 18.572266, "structural_low": 18.61217, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.023548, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.022606, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.457289, "worst_return": -0.252975, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.019827, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.00328, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.308889, "worst_return": -0.166465, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.064184, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.048682, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.477749, "worst_return": -0.176878, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.330875, "energy": 62.590936, "activity_lines": [ 35.465334, 33.133455, 30.671756, 28.631774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.41, "volume": 65518452, "typical_volume": 69204729.5, "trend": 26.356199, "fair_value": 18.463985, "relative_strength": 12.971794, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.104037, "energy": 21.900004, "activity_lines": [ 31.924667, 32.072182, 30.423126, 28.583587 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.110001, "volume": 98867165, "typical_volume": 71635988.6, "trend": 26.860861, "fair_value": 18.572266, "relative_strength": 46.574848, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.92702, "energy": 22.565043, "activity_lines": [ 31.956667, 32.837818, 31.084527, 29.148348 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }