{ "ticker": { "uuid": "59542245-87cd-4a20-a97d-52560ee7feaf", "symbol": "UC14", "name": "UBS CMCI Composite SF UCITS ETF USD acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.639, "architecture_energy": 78.958, "architecture_maturity": 9.649, "architecture_confidence": 77.873, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.82, "rotation_up": 77.2, "upward_expansion": 90.44, "deceleration": 45.08, "rotation_down": 11.18, "downward_expansion": 19.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 140.865332, 138.430272, 138.062547, 136.355139 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 142.154999, "trend_reference": 132.779333, "distance_from_trend": 0.070611, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 111.232403, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.278, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.96032, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.183836, "excess_performance": 0.1326, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.070611, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062906, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.278, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023465, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.059603, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076476, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.183836, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.061341, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1130, "relative_activity": 0.060326, "balance": 4.061341, "dry_up": 0.070509, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021829, "annualized_volatility": 0.126873, "from_high_reference": -0.028863, "from_low_reference": 0.318203 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 132.779333, "fair_value_reference": 111.232403, "structural_low": 118.18, 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6.096333, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.106872, "energy": 22.729547, "activity_lines": [ 133.939666, 135.626272, 136.218904, 133.68558 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 139.425003, "volume": 1966, "typical_volume": 29129.95, "trend": 130.176167, "fair_value": 110.495833, "relative_strength": 7.430041, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.828891, "energy": 21.429091, "activity_lines": [ 135.735, 136.026909, 136.639023, 134.340204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 141.854996, "volume": 1820, "typical_volume": 29076.85, "trend": 131.0635, "fair_value": 110.739583, "relative_strength": 7.723122, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.598512, "energy": 45.429691, "activity_lines": [ 138.122333, 136.889636, 137.211737, 135.093677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 140.404999, "volume": 367, "typical_volume": 19200.9, "trend": 131.943833, "fair_value": 110.979391, "relative_strength": 5.15879, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.047583, "energy": 62.453927, "activity_lines": [ 139.503333, 137.489272, 137.570618, 135.696354 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 142.154999, "volume": 1130, "typical_volume": 18731.6, "trend": 132.779333, "fair_value": 111.232403, "relative_strength": 5.96032, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.638695, "energy": 78.957843, "activity_lines": [ 140.865332, 138.430272, 138.062547, 136.355139 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }