{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5964e11c-057a-4647-b47b-0bfa51f64af7",
    "symbol": "600191",
    "name": "Baotou Huazi Industry Co., Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 92.252,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -49.51,
    "architecture_energy": 39.458,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.759,
    "architecture_confidence": 50.03,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.79,
        "rotation_up": 24.18,
        "upward_expansion": 16.59,
        "deceleration": 66.61,
        "rotation_down": 47.96,
        "downward_expansion": 68.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.632,
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        10.308797,
        10.869939
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 10.7,
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    "distance_from_trend": -0.075566,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 7.722817,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.385505,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.676104,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.227994,
    "excess_performance": -0.18479,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.075566,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041921,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.385505,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.313499,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006761,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.137231,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.227994,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.19082,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 64833401,
      "relative_activity": 1.895754,
      "balance": 1.19082,
      "dry_up": 1.604321,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.105248,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.524601,
      "from_high_reference": -0.248596,
      "from_low_reference": 0.442049
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.574647,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.722817,
      "structural_low": 8.06,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.055749,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
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        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.260345,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": 0.002151,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "fair_value": 7.651278,
        "relative_strength": -14.901232,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -79.420846,
        "energy": 90.135704,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 30224196.3,
        "trend": 11.761981,
        "fair_value": 7.668009,
        "relative_strength": -16.720831,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.552867,
        "energy": 88.747139,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.86,
        "volume": 83262439,
        "typical_volume": 32459551.05,
        "trend": 11.646314,
        "fair_value": 7.692496,
        "relative_strength": -4.248727,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.644773,
        "energy": 68.921104,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.7,
        "volume": 64833401,
        "typical_volume": 34199263.9,
        "trend": 11.574647,
        "fair_value": 7.722817,
        "relative_strength": 0.676104,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.509576,
        "energy": 39.458222,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}